Based on 12 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their KAPA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak
86% of all-time peak
12 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 14 funds (reached 2025 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +50% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+4 new funds entered over the past year (+50% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 43% buying
6 buying8 selling
Last quarter: 8 funds reduced or exited vs 6 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 6 → 5 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 50% entered in last year
■ 8% conviction (2yr+)
■ 42% medium
■ 50% new
Only 1 funds (8%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
5 → 5 → 6 → 5 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 6 → 5 → 4. KAPA is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 83% of holders entered in last year
■ 8% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 83% new
Of 12 current holders: 10 (83%) entered in the past year, only 1 (8%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 21% AUM from major funds
21% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 12 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 21% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.