Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP)

103 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in JCAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
79%

Smart Money Signals — JCAP

Based on 104 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JCAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
104 hedge funds hold JCAP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +10300% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+103 new funds entered over the past year (+10300% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 79% buying

92 buying25 selling
Last quarter: 92 funds were net buyers (33 opened a brand new position + 59 added to an existing one). Only 25 were sellers (7 trimmed + 18 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new JCAP position: 53 → 38 → 25 → 33. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 30% long-term, 44% new

■ 30% conviction (2yr+) ■ 26% medium ■ 44% new
Of the 104 current holders: 31 (30%) held >2 years, 27 held 1–2 years, and 46 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +82%, value +56%

Value
+55%
Shares
+81%
Last quarter: funds added +82% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +56%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

1 → 53 → 38 → 25 → 33 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 53 → 38 → 25 → 33. JCAP is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 50% veterans vs 50% newcomers

■ 50% veterans ■ 0% 1-2yr ■ 50% new
Entry-cohort mix of 104 holders: 52 (50%) are 2+ year veterans, 0 entered 1–2 years ago, and 52 (50%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
31 of 104 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in JCAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — JCAP

In 2026 Q1, 92 hedge funds were net buyers of JCAP (33 opened a new position, 59 added to an existing one), while 25 reduced or exited (7 trimmed, 18 sold completely) — a 79% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 46% of total institutional value in JCAP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +15 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 104.

Hedge Fund Ownership: JCAP

How many hedge funds hold JCAP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of JCAP vs. share price

Market Analysis: JCAP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: JCAP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much JCAP has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 81d ago
JCAP
nan%
XLF
+8.5%

JCAP outperformed XLF by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 36d ago
JCAP
nan%
XLF
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, JCAP outperformed XLF by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: JCAP
103 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in JCAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 103 89 15.73%
13F Shares 22M 12M 81.74%
Total Value $416M $267M 55.89%
New Positions 32 25 +7
Increased Positions 59 15 +44
Closed Positions 18 7 +11
Reduced Positions 7 39 -32
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: JCAP

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

103 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in JCAP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 JCAP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 EJF Capital LP 2.32% 171,092 $3.3M
2 PMC FIG Opportunities LLC 1.47% 49,771 $957K
3 Maltese Capital Management LLC 1.25% 329,700 $6.3M
4 Punch & Associates Investment Management, INC. 1.24% 1,115,885 $21.5M
5 Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 0.53% 750,000 $14.4M
6 North Reef Capital Management LP 0.35% 532,151 $10.2M
7 VARCOV Co. 0.27% 37,653 $724K
8 Persistent Asset Partners Ltd 0.13% 17,775 $342K
9 Epiq Partners, LLC 0.12% 13,333 $256K
10 Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, LLC 0.12% 28,754 $553K
11 William Blair Investment Management, LLC 0.10% 1,559,949 $30.0M
12 Seven Grand Managers, LLC 0.09% 70,000 $1.3M
13 Voleon Capital Management LP 0.06% 146,127 $2.8M
14 Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. 0.05% 1,762,799 $33.9M
15 Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC 0.05% 15,801 $304K
16 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 0.03% 190,000 $3.7M
17 Boothbay Fund Management, LLC 0.03% 122,672 $2.4M
18 Ghisallo Capital Management LLC 0.03% 50,000 $962K
19 Covalis Capital LLP 0.02% 15,000 $288K
20 State of Wisconsin Investment Board 0.02% 374,375 $7.2M
21 Principal Financial Group Inc 0.02% 1,537,054 $29.6M
22 Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 0.01% 247,072 $4.8M
23 Wellington Management Group LLP 0.01% 3,270,966 $62.9M
24 Scotia Capital INC. 0.01% 121,901 $2.3M
25 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.01% 9,764 $188K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for JCAP?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added JCAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for JCAP?

More buyers than sellers — 79% buying: Last quarter: 92 funds were net buyers (33 opened a brand new position + 59 added to an existing one). Only 25 were sellers (7 trimmed + 18 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for JCAP holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 31 of 104 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in JCAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held JCAP?

Mixed — 30% long-term, 44% new: Of the 104 current holders: 31 (30%) held >2 years, 27 held 1–2 years, and 46 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, JCAP has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), JCAP has gained nan% vs +8.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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