Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ILLINOIS TOOL WKS INC (ITW)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ITW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +46
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — ITW

Based on 1751 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ITW than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,751 hedge funds hold ITW right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding ITW is almost the same as a year ago (+53 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

734 buying862 selling
Last quarter: 862 funds reduced or exited vs 734 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+77 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ITW position: 144 → 135 → 122 → 199. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

75% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 75% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 11% new
1,314 out of 1,751 hedge funds have held ITW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

165 → 144 → 135 → 122 → 199 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 144 → 135 → 122 → 199. A growing number of institutions are discovering ITW each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 74% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Of 1,772 current holders: 1,315 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds

51% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 1751 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in ITW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ITW

How many hedge funds hold ITW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ITW vs. share price

Market Analysis: ITW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ITW

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

147 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
9.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ITW
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 11 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ITW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 1772 1735 2.13%
13F Shares 240M 234M 2.75%
Total Value $58.85B $60.76B -3.15%
New Positions 201 122 +79
Increased Positions 563 644 -81
Closed Positions 156 138 +18
Reduced Positions 745 669 +76
Total Calls 10 17 -41.18%
Total Puts 12 18 -33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.2 1.06 Neutral

Statistics: ITW

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ITW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of ITW — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Regents Gate Capital LLP 5.18% 93,388 $24.3M
2 COERENTE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 5.10% 105,243 $27.4M
3 MCDANIEL TERRY & CO 4.09% 185,018 $48.2M
4 Long Road Investment Counsel, LLC 3.94% 38,606 $10.0M
5 Eliot Finkel Investment Counsel, LLC 3.67% 25,940 $6.8M
6 Guinness Asset Management LTD 3.41% 763,107 $198.0M
7 M. Kraus & Co 2.84% 37,412 $9.7M
8 Chronos Wealth Management, LLC 2.66% 21,123 $5.5M
9 DLK Investment Management, LLC 2.60% 25,235 $6.6M
10 GRANDFIELD & DODD, LLC 2.40% 163,248 $42.5M
11 Ramsay, Stattman, Vela & Price, Inc. 2.31% 44,994 $11.7M
12 HAMEL ASSOCIATES, INC. 2.18% 29,290 $7.6M
13 Tradewinds, LLC. 2.11% 25,619 $6.5M
14 THOMAS STORY & SON LLC 2.10% 21,050 $5.5M
15 Shelter Mutual Insurance Co 2.07% 35,840 $9.3M
16 PIONEER TRUST BANK N A/OR 1.84% 29,193 $7.6M
17 Bank & Trust Co 1.78% 10,139 $2.6M
18 Somerset Trust Co 1.67% 20,975 $5.5M
19 TI-TRUST, INC 1.66% 10,733 $2.8M
20 KANAWHA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1.61% 87,781 $22.8M
21 CARDEROCK CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC 1.56% 24,193 $6.3M
22 Harrington Investments, INC 1.53% 11,205 $2.9M
23 SECURED RETIREMENT ADVISORS, LLC 1.52% 10,287 $2.7M
24 Sky Investment Group LLC 1.51% 33,799 $8.8M
25 Argo Wealth Advisory, LLC 1.50% 9,814 $2.6M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ILLINOIS TOOL WKS INC (ITW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ITW?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ITW than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ITW?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 862 funds reduced or exited vs 734 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ITW holders?

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds: 46 of 1751 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in ITW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ITW?

75% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,314 out of 1,751 hedge funds have held ITW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.