Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO)

406 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in IMO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
10Q ▲
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — IMO

Based on 410 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added IMO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
410 hedge funds hold IMO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +29% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+92 new funds entered over the past year (+29% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

188 buying212 selling
Last quarter: 212 funds reduced or exited vs 188 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-28 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 46 → 64 → 97 → 69. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 55% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 26% new
227 out of 410 hedge funds have held IMO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +7%, value -8%

Value
-8%
Shares
+7%
Last quarter: funds added +7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -8%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

47 → 46 → 64 → 97 → 69 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 64 → 97 → 69. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 28% newcomers

■ 63% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 28% new
Entry-cohort mix of 430 holders: 269 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 40 entered 1–2 years ago, and 121 (28%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 75% AUM from top-100 funds

75% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 408 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 75% of total institutional value in IMO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — IMO

In 2026 Q2, 188 hedge funds were net buyers of IMO (69 opened a new position, 119 added to an existing one), while 212 reduced or exited (146 trimmed, 66 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This marks 10 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 75% of total institutional value in IMO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 410.

Hedge Fund Ownership: IMO

How many hedge funds hold IMO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of IMO vs. share price

Market Analysis: IMO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: IMO

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

17 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: IMO
406 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in IMO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 406 407 -0.25%
13F Shares 129M 121M 7.06%
Total Value $14.46B $15.72B -7.98%
New Positions 69 97 -28
Increased Positions 115 103 +12
Closed Positions 68 43 +25
Reduced Positions 139 136 +3
Total Calls 12 13 -7.69%
Total Puts 9 9 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.69 Neutral

Statistics: IMO

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

406 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in IMO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 IMO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Barometer Capital Management INC. 3.01% 68,070 $10.8M
2 Turas Capital Management LP 2.77% 53,900 $6.0M
3 First Eagle Investment Management, LLC 2.54% 13,590,697 $1.52B
4 SIR Capital Management, L.P. 1.54% 119,300 $13.4M
5 Guardian Partners Inc. 1.43% 140,984 $15.8M
6 Murchinson Ltd. 0.89% 57,700 $6.5M
7 Gold Investment Management Ltd. 0.86% 28,408 $3.2M
8 Triasima Portfolio Management inc. 0.77% 50,745 $5.7M
9 Hara Capital LLC 0.73% 12,330 $1.4M
10 Mufg Securities (canada), LTD. 0.64% 212,062 $23.8M
11 Aventail Capital Group, LP 0.58% 90,600 $10.1M
12 Chelsea Counsel Co 0.56% 11,839 $1.3M
13 Klein Pavlis & Peasley Financial, INC. 0.54% 9,334 $1.0M
14 Waratah Capital Advisors Ltd. 0.53% 138,623 $15.5M
15 FIL Ltd 0.41% 5,110,625 $573.9M
16 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.41% 160,774 $18.0M
17 Stirlingshire Investments, Inc. 0.36% 4,311 $484K
18 Azzad Asset Management Inc /Adv 0.34% 34,452 $3.9M
19 Genus Capital Management Inc. 0.34% 30,478 $3.4M
20 Meixler Investment Management, Ltd. 0.33% 5,263 $590K
21 Fortress Private Ledger, LLC 0.32% 10,432 $1.2M
22 TABR Capital Management, LLC 0.30% 3,143 $352K
23 TD Asset Management Inc 0.30% 3,060,928 $343.6M
24 Holistic Financial Partners 0.27% 3,954 $443K
25 Murchinson Ltd. 0.27% 17,512 $2.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for IMO?

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row: For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added IMO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for IMO?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 212 funds reduced or exited vs 188 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for IMO holders?

Elite ownership — 75% AUM from top-100 funds: 53 of 408 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 75% of total institutional value in IMO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held IMO?

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 227 out of 410 hedge funds have held IMO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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