Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Harley Davidson Inc (HOG)

431 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in HOG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +44
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — HOG

Based on 440 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added HOG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
440 hedge funds hold HOG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+47 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

229 buying187 selling
Last quarter: 229 funds bought or added vs 187 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new HOG position: 53 → 69 → 79 → 100. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 20% new
282 out of 440 hedge funds have held HOG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +28% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+27%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +28%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

58 → 53 → 69 → 79 → 100 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 53 → 69 → 79 → 100. A growing number of institutions are discovering HOG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 70% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 70% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 468 holders: 329 (70%) are 2+ year veterans, 44 entered 1–2 years ago, and 95 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
55 of 437 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in HOG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — HOG

In 2026 Q2, 229 hedge funds were net buyers of HOG (100 opened a new position, 129 added to an existing one), while 187 reduced or exited (131 trimmed, 56 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 54% of total institutional value in HOG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +44 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 440.

Hedge Fund Ownership: HOG

How many hedge funds hold HOG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of HOG vs. share price

Market Analysis: HOG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: HOG

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

14 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
5.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: HOG
431 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in HOG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 431 396 8.84%
13F Shares 112M 112M 0.46%
Total Value $2.59B $2.13B 21.43%
New Positions 97 79 +18
Increased Positions 122 137 -15
Closed Positions 59 70 -11
Reduced Positions 124 94 +30
Total Calls 16 12 33.33%
Total Puts 15 13 15.38%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.94 1.08 Neutral

Statistics: HOG

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

431 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in HOG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 HOG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 FIFTHDELTA Ltd 12.54% 4,372,149 $106.9M
2 Gate City Capital Management, LLC 12.51% 1,972,970 $48.3M
3 Magarian Capital Management, LLC 8.79% 1,164,134 $28.5M
4 Third Avenue Management LLC 5.79% 1,480,880 $36.2M
5 Aegis Financial Corp 5.29% 1,369,000 $33.5M
6 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 4.02% 9,279,072 $227.0M
7 Towle & Co 2.31% 278,861 $6.8M
8 Robinson Value Management, Ltd. 2.06% 157,085 $3.8M
9 Magarian Capital Management, LLC 1.28% 170,000 $4.2M
10 Pine Valley Investments Ltd Liability Co 1.28% 1,327,218 $32.5M
11 Holowesko Partners Ltd. 1.16% 188,000 $4.6M
12 JCP Investment Management, LLC 1.09% 83,030 $2.0M
13 RVW Wealth, LLC 0.97% 604,052 $14.8M
14 Villanova Investment Management Co LLC 0.97% 41,760 $1.0M
15 VARCOV Co. 0.81% 87,653 $2.1M
16 Mork Capital Management, LLC 0.78% 50,000 $1.2M
17 Manatuck Hill Partners, LLC 0.53% 65,000 $1.6M
18 Pine Valley Investments Ltd Liability Co 0.35% 367,600 $9.0M
19 PDT Partners, LLC 0.34% 267,478 $6.5M
20 Twelve Points Wealth Management LLC 0.33% 67,624 $1.7M
21 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.30% 702,109 $17.2M
22 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.18% 8,000 $268K
23 Trexquant Investment LP 0.17% 1,204,180 $29.5M
24 iSAM Funds (UK) Ltd 0.17% 10,000 $245K
25 Money Concepts Capital Corp 0.13% 117,398 $2.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Harley Davidson Inc (HOG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for HOG?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added HOG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for HOG?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 229 funds bought or added vs 187 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for HOG holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 55 of 437 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in HOG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held HOG?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 282 out of 440 hedge funds have held HOG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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