Based on 186 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added HG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
186 hedge funds hold HG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +30% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+43 new funds entered over the past year (+30% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 61% buying
107 buying67 selling
Last quarter: 107 funds were net buyers (36 opened a brand new position + 71 added to an existing one). Only 67 were sellers (56 trimmed + 11 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+18 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new HG position: 35 → 26 → 18 → 36. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 30% entered in last year
■ 11% conviction (2yr+)
■ 59% medium
■ 30% new
Only 20 funds (11%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~36 new funds/quarter
35 → 35 → 26 → 18 → 36 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 35 → 26 → 18 → 36. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 4% veterans, 49% new entrants
■ 4% veterans
■ 47% 1-2yr
■ 49% new
Of 186 current holders: 7 (4%) held 2+ years, 88 held 1–2 years, 91 (49%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
✅
Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds
32% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 186 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.