Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)

341 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in HCC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — HCC

Based on 341 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added HCC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
341 hedge funds hold HCC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +33% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+84 new funds entered over the past year (+33% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

197 buying158 selling
Last quarter: 197 funds bought or added vs 158 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-20 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 40 → 87 → 67. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 23% new
200 out of 341 hedge funds have held HCC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

37 → 34 → 40 → 87 → 67 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 40 → 87 → 67. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 67% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 354 holders: 236 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 30 entered 1–2 years ago, and 88 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
51 of 338 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in HCC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — HCC

In 2026 Q1, 197 hedge funds were net buyers of HCC (67 opened a new position, 130 added to an existing one), while 158 reduced or exited (106 trimmed, 52 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 44% of total institutional value in HCC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +15 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 341.

Hedge Fund Ownership: HCC

How many hedge funds hold HCC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of HCC vs. share price

Market Analysis: HCC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: HCC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much HCC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
HCC
+5.3%
SPY
+14.1%

HCC outperformed SPY by -8.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
HCC
+15.2%
SPY
+0.3%

Since the filing became public, HCC outperformed SPY by +14.9% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Growing Institutional Interest

Quality funds are building positions — conviction is rising but not yet widespread.

28 top-rated funds 9 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: HCC
341 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in HCC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 341 326 4.6%
13F Shares 50M 53M -4.98%
Total Value $4.32B $4.38B -1.26%
New Positions 67 87 -20
Increased Positions 127 96 +31
Closed Positions 52 29 +23
Reduced Positions 103 105 -2
Total Calls 9 7 28.57%
Total Puts 7 6 16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.78 0.86 Neutral

Statistics: HCC

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

341 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in HCC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 HCC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Dalal Street, LLC 39.89% 1,810,831 $168.7M
2 O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc. 6.73% 292,604 $27.3M
3 Third Avenue Management LLC 5.50% 364,002 $33.9M
4 Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd 4.69% 131,232 $12.4M
5 Summit Street Capital Management, LLC 4.64% 351,989 $32.8M
6 Mudita Advisors LLP 3.31% 174,000 $16.2M
7 Kennondale Capital Management LLC 3.01% 44,901 $4.2M
8 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 2.99% 598,113 $55.7M
9 Epacria Capital Partners, LLC 2.82% 39,052 $3.6M
10 Extract Advisors LLC 2.37% 72,944 $6.8M
11 Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC 2.32% 79,089 $7.4M
12 Hosking Partners LLP 2.19% 656,822 $61.2M
13 High Ground Investment Management LLP 2.02% 117,047 $10.9M
14 Lifetime Wealth Management P.C. 1.89% 35,687 $3.3M
15 Marnell Management LLC 1.81% 55,913 $5.2M
16 Forest Avenue Capital Management LP 1.58% 285,838 $26.6M
17 NWF Advisory Services Inc. 0.94% 89,205 $8.3M
18 Crystal Cove Asset Management, LLC 0.84% 7,500 $699K
19 Wulff, Hansen & CO. 0.66% 6,963 $649K
20 GeoSphere Capital Management, LLC 0.61% 15,000 $1.4M
21 Affinity Wealth Management LLC 0.54% 38,132 $3.6M
22 Act Capital Management, LLC 0.44% 6,000 $559K
23 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 0.43% 143,059 $13.3M
24 Lakewood Asset Management LLC 0.43% 7,255 $676K
25 Chesapeake Capital Corp /Il/ 0.39% 5,744 $535K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for HCC?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added HCC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for HCC?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 197 funds bought or added vs 158 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for HCC holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 51 of 338 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in HCC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held HCC?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 200 out of 341 hedge funds have held HCC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, HCC has moved +15.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +14.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), HCC has gained +5.3% vs +14.1% for SPY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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