Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Groupon Inc (GRPN)

149 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GRPN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -7
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — GRPN

Based on 149 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GRPN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak

84% of all-time peak
149 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 178 funds (reached 2025 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+27 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

82 buying90 selling
Last quarter: 90 funds reduced or exited vs 82 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~32 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 61 → 47 → 28 → 32. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 25% new
85 out of 149 hedge funds have held GRPN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -38%

Value
-37%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -38%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

32 → 61 → 47 → 28 → 32 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 61 → 47 → 28 → 32. GRPN is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 69% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Of 165 current holders: 114 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds

25% from top-100 AUM funds
35 of 149 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GRPN

In 2026 Q1, 82 hedge funds were net buyers of GRPN (32 opened a new position, 50 added to an existing one), while 90 reduced or exited (51 trimmed, 39 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 25% of total institutional value in GRPN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -7 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 149.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GRPN

How many hedge funds hold GRPN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GRPN vs. share price

Market Analysis: GRPN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GRPN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Groupon Inc (GRPN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much GRPN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLC) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
GRPN
+45.0%
XLC
+0.7%

GRPN outperformed XLC by +44.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
GRPN
-1.1%
XLC
-3.8%

Since the filing became public, GRPN outperformed XLC by +2.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GRPN
149 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GRPN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 149 156 -4.49%
13F Shares 39M 42M -6.95%
Total Value $459M $735M -37.54%
New Positions 32 28 +4
Increased Positions 44 50 -6
Closed Positions 39 50 -11
Reduced Positions 46 53 -7
Total Calls 9 17 -47.06%
Total Puts 10 15 -33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.11 0.88 Neutral

Statistics: GRPN

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

149 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GRPN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GRPN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Windward Management LP 20.21% 2,209,641 $26.3M
2 Pale Fire Capital SE 10.65% 10,181,070 $121.2M
3 Windward Management LP 6.94% 758,800 $9.0M
4 Continental General Insurance Co 6.21% 3,620,590 $43.1M
5 Prentice Capital Management, LP 2.19% 84,088 $1.0M
6 Garnet Equity Capital Holdings, INC. 1.78% 958,660 $11.4M
7 Potomac Capital Management, Inc. 1.61% 155,800 $1.9M
8 Shay Capital LLC 0.50% 500,000 $6.0M
9 Generali Investments CEE, investicni spolecnost, a.s. 0.40% 636,779 $7.6M
10 CenterBook Partners LP 0.30% 468,424 $5.6M
11 Diametric Capital, LP 0.26% 85,099 $1.0M
12 Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP 0.22% 444,965 $5.3M
13 Hennessy Advisors Inc 0.18% 415,400 $4.9M
14 Blueshift Asset Management, LLC 0.09% 26,209 $312K
15 Lombard Odier Asset Management (Europe) Ltd 0.07% 102,118 $1.2M
16 ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP 0.05% 560,986 $6.7M
17 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.04% 43,930 $523K
18 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.04% 246,292 $2.9M
19 SummitTX Capital, L.P. 0.03% 81,366 $968K
20 Wolverine Asset Management LLC 0.03% 250,500 $3.0M
21 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.02% 47,547 $566K
22 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.02% 13,672 $163K
23 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 0.02% 219,041 $2.6M
24 Jump Financial, LLC 0.02% 104,613 $1.2M
25 Hrt Financial LP 0.01% 423,734 $5.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Groupon Inc (GRPN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GRPN?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GRPN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for GRPN?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 90 funds reduced or exited vs 82 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for GRPN holders?

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds: 35 of 149 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held GRPN?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 85 out of 149 hedge funds have held GRPN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Groupon Inc (GRPN) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, GRPN has moved -1.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.8% for the XLC sector ETF — an outperformance of +2.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), GRPN has gained +45.0% vs +0.7% for XLC. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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