Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Grail Inc (GRAL)

363 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GRAL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -47
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — GRAL

Based on 366 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GRAL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 3.0Y peak

89% of all-time peak
366 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 3.0-year high of 413 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +23% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+68 new funds entered over the past year (+23% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

159 buying215 selling
Last quarter: 215 funds reduced or exited vs 159 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-59 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 82 → 59 → 113 → 54. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 32% entered in last year

6% conviction (2yr+) 62% medium 32% new
Only 21 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +16%, value -29%

Value
-29%
Shares
+16%
Last quarter: funds added +16% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

44 → 82 → 59 → 113 → 54 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 82 → 59 → 113 → 54. A growing number of institutions are discovering GRAL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 4% veterans, 37% new entrants

4% veterans 59% 1-2yr 37% new
Of 382 current holders: 16 (4%) held 2+ years, 226 held 1–2 years, 140 (37%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds

33% from top-100 AUM funds
51 of 362 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GRAL

In 2026 Q1, 159 hedge funds were net buyers of GRAL (54 opened a new position, 105 added to an existing one), while 215 reduced or exited (114 trimmed, 101 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 33% of total institutional value in GRAL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -47 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 366.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GRAL

How many hedge funds hold GRAL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GRAL vs. share price

Market Analysis: GRAL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GRAL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Grail Inc (GRAL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much GRAL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 82d ago
GRAL
+23.3%
XLV
+705.0%

GRAL outperformed XLV by -681.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 37d ago
GRAL
+6.9%
XLV
+691.9%

Since the filing became public, GRAL outperformed XLV by -685.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GRAL
363 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GRAL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 363 413 -12.11%
13F Shares 37M 32M 16.23%
Total Value $1.92B $2.72B -29.54%
New Positions 52 113 -61
Increased Positions 96 121 -25
Closed Positions 102 41 +61
Reduced Positions 113 100 +13
Total Calls 12 13 -7.69%
Total Puts 8 8 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.62 Bullish

Statistics: GRAL

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

363 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GRAL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GRAL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC 30.64% 1,034,597 $53.5M
2 WIM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Ltd 1.63% 106,400 $5.5M
3 Sessa Capital IM, L.P. 1.61% 1,719,314 $88.9M
4 Slow Capital, Inc. 1.53% 228,256 $11.8M
5 Deep Track Capital, LP 1.45% 1,722,797 $89.0M
6 Gem Investment Advisors, LLC 1.36% 26,781 $1.4M
7 Baker BROS. Advisors LP 1.20% 4,028,614 $208.2M
8 Legal Advantage Investments, Inc. 1.19% 44,500 $2.3M
9 Farallon Capital Management LLC 0.96% 3,253,684 $168.2M
10 Pvg Asset Management Corp 0.91% 25,907 $1.5M
11 Casdin Capital, LLC 0.90% 230,000 $11.9M
12 Advisory Advocates, LLC 0.84% 9,915 $849K
13 Newtyn Management, LLC 0.83% 150,000 $7.8M
14 180 Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.75% 127,347 $6.6M
15 Timelo Investment Management Inc. 0.61% 15,000 $775K
16 Alessandra Capital Management, LLC 0.47% 6,118 $524K
17 Bayforest Capital Ltd 0.42% 7,262 $375K
18 Jackson Hole Capital Partners, LLC 0.28% 33,000 $1.7M
19 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.26% 5,192 $268K
20 DUTCH ASSET Corp 0.25% 7,135 $369K
21 Braidwell LP 0.25% 142,755 $7.4M
22 Bouvel Investment Partners, LLC 0.24% 16,127 $833K
23 Ra Capital Management, L.P. 0.23% 428,266 $22.1M
24 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 0.23% 657,500 $34.0M
25 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 0.23% 650,000 $33.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Grail Inc (GRAL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GRAL?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GRAL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for GRAL?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 215 funds reduced or exited vs 159 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for GRAL holders?

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds: 51 of 362 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held GRAL?

Mostly new holders — 32% entered in last year: Only 21 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Grail Inc (GRAL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, GRAL has moved +6.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +691.9% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of -685.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), GRAL has gained +23.3% vs +705.0% for XLV. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →