Stock Analysis

VELODYNE LIDAR INC (GRAF)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
25%

Smart Money Signals — GRAF

Based on 40 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 39% of 3.0Y high

39% of all-time peak
Only 40 funds hold this stock today versus a peak of 102 funds at 2022 Q2 — just 39% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📶

Steady growth — +14% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+5 new funds entered over the past year (+14% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying

4 buying12 selling
Last quarter: 12 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 4 → 6 → 2 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 12% entered in last year

22% conviction (2yr+) 65% medium 12% new
Only 9 funds (22%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -100%

Value
-99%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -100%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

13 → 4 → 6 → 2 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 4 → 6 → 2 → 2. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 35% veterans, 40% new entrants

35% veterans 25% 1-2yr 40% new
Of 40 current holders: 14 (35%) held 2+ years, 10 held 1–2 years, 16 (40%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.

Strong quality — 22% from major AUM funds

22% from top-100 AUM funds
9 of 40 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
1.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GRAF

How many hedge funds hold GRAF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GRAF vs. share price

Market Analysis: GRAF

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GRAF

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Hedge Fund Positioning: GRAF
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: GRAF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed