Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Graf Global Corp (GRAF)

50 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GRAF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +4
Streak
7Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — GRAF

Based on 50 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added GRAF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🔻

Below peak — only 44% of 3.0Y high

44% of all-time peak
Only 50 funds hold GRAF today versus a peak of 113 funds at 2022 Q4 — just 44% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +32% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+12 new funds entered over the past year (+32% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

13 buying11 selling
Last quarter: 13 funds bought or added vs 11 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 8 → 3 → 4 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 18% entered in last year

■ 22% conviction (2yr+) ■ 60% medium ■ 18% new
Only 11 funds (22%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Value +6669% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+6668%
Shares
+0%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +6669%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

4 → 8 → 3 → 4 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 3 → 4 → 5. GRAF is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 28% veterans, 30% new entrants

■ 28% veterans ■ 42% 1-2yr ■ 30% new
Of 50 current holders: 14 (28%) held 2+ years, 21 held 1–2 years, 15 (30%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆

Elite ownership — 99% AUM from top-100 funds

99% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 50 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 99% of total institutional value in GRAF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
1.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GRAF

In 2026 Q1, 13 hedge funds were net buyers of GRAF (5 opened a new position, 8 added to an existing one), while 11 reduced or exited (10 trimmed, 1 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 7 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 99% of total institutional value in GRAF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +4 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 50.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GRAF

How many hedge funds hold GRAF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GRAF vs. share price

Market Analysis: GRAF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GRAF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Graf Global Corp (GRAF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much GRAF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
GRAF
+1.5%
XLF
+9.5%

GRAF outperformed XLF by -8.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
GRAF
+0.8%
XLF
+5.8%

Since the filing became public, GRAF outperformed XLF by -5.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GRAF
50 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GRAF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 50 46 8.7%
13F Shares 23M 23M 0.77%
Total Value $16.43B $243M 6668.89%
New Positions 5 4 +1
Increased Positions 8 3 +5
Closed Positions 1 3 -2
Reduced Positions 10 10 -
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: GRAF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value --
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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

50 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GRAF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GRAF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 L1 Global Manager Pty Ltd 2.15% 300,000 $3.2M
2 Gritstone Asset Management LLC 2.00% 174,665 $1.9M
3 Wealthspring Capital LLC 1.78% 702,050 $7.5M
4 Fort Baker Capital Management LP 1.26% 1,496,519 $16.0M
5 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 0.77% 830,000 $8.9M
6 Rivernorth Capital Management, LLC 0.59% 1,098,048 $11.8M
7 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 0.56% 1,002,441 $10.7M
8 Highbridge Capital Management LLC 0.53% 1,512,722 $16.2M
9 Periscope Capital INC. 0.29% 247,500 $2.7M
10 AQR Arbitrage LLC 0.25% 1,436,852 $15.4M
11 Bulldog Investors, LLP 0.24% 100,000 $1.1M
12 Deltec Asset Management LLC 0.20% 100,000 $1.1M
13 Magnetar Financial LLC 0.18% 1,613,354 $17.3M
14 Berkley W R Corp 0.17% 303,119 $3.2M
15 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 0.17% 800,000 $8.6M
16 Sona Asset Management (us) LLC 0.14% 600,000 $6.4M
17 Aristeia Capital, L.L.C. 0.13% 588,958 $6.3M
18 Lineage Point Capital LP 0.12% 45,532 $488K
19 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 0.10% 214,157 $2.3M
20 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.10% 600,020 $6.4M
21 Picton Mahoney Asset Management 0.08% 1,004,280 $10.8M
22 Karpus Management, Inc. 0.06% 192,600 $2.1M
23 Alberta Investment Management Corp 0.06% 980,000 $10.5M
24 Radcliffe Capital Management, L.P. 0.06% 68,729 $736K
25 Robinson Capital Management, LLC 0.06% 12,250 $132K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Graf Global Corp (GRAF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GRAF?

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row: For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added GRAF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for GRAF?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 13 funds bought or added vs 11 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for GRAF holders?

Elite ownership — 99% AUM from top-100 funds: 6 of 50 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 99% of total institutional value in GRAF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held GRAF?

Mostly new holders — 18% entered in last year: Only 11 funds (22%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Graf Global Corp (GRAF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, GRAF has moved +0.8% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), GRAF has gained +1.5% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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