Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Graphic Packaging Hldg Co (GPK)

433 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GPK. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
60%

Smart Money Signals — GPK

Based on 436 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added GPK than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak

86% of all-time peak
436 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 505 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 11% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
54 fewer hedge funds hold GPK compared to a year ago (-11% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying

282 buying191 selling
Last quarter: 282 funds were net buyers (80 opened a brand new position + 202 added to an existing one). Only 191 were sellers (114 trimmed + 77 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-9 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 51 → 80 → 89 → 80. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 20% new
272 out of 436 hedge funds have held GPK for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -0%, value -37%

Value
-36%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: funds added -0% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -37%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

58 → 51 → 80 → 89 → 80 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 51 → 80 → 89 → 80. A growing number of institutions are discovering GPK each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 448 holders: 303 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 49 entered 1–2 years ago, and 96 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds

39% from top-100 AUM funds
57 of 433 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GPK

In 2026 Q1, 282 hedge funds were net buyers of GPK (80 opened a new position, 202 added to an existing one), while 191 reduced or exited (114 trimmed, 77 sold completely) — a 60% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. 39% of total institutional value in GPK is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 436.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GPK

How many hedge funds hold GPK — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GPK vs. share price

Market Analysis: GPK

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GPK

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Graphic Packaging Hldg Co (GPK) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much GPK has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
GPK
nan%
XLY
+8.9%

GPK outperformed XLY by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
GPK
nan%
XLY
+1.9%

Since the filing became public, GPK outperformed XLY by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

34 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
6.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GPK
433 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GPK. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 433 433 -
13F Shares 335M 338M -0.75%
Total Value $3.20B $5.08B -36.96%
New Positions 79 89 -10
Increased Positions 201 158 +43
Closed Positions 79 90 -11
Reduced Positions 109 148 -39
Total Calls 6 3 100.0%
Total Puts 8 4 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.33 1.33 Bearish

Statistics: GPK

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

433 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GPK. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GPK holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Seven Six Capital Management, LLC 6.19% 579,206 $5.8M
2 Clear Investment Research, LLC 2.94% 188,690 $1.9M
3 DME Capital Management, LP 2.83% 9,099,980 $90.5M
4 Shapiro Capital Management LLC 2.65% 4,271,859 $42.5M
5 LM Asset Management Inc. 1.86% 360,000 $3.6M
6 Manning & Napier Advisors LLC 1.19% 8,481,670 $84.3M
7 Cloverfields Capital Group, LP 1.06% 328,786 $3.3M
8 Skba Capital Management LLC 1.00% 733,300 $7.3M
9 Pullen Investment Management, LLC 0.87% 174,749 $1.7M
10 Callodine Capital Management, LP 0.72% 1,030,776 $10.2M
11 Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, INC. 0.68% 20,315,566 $201.9M
12 Letko, Brosseau & Associates Inc 0.56% 3,470,560 $34.5M
13 AlphaCentric Advisors LLC 0.55% 55,000 $547K
14 Axq Capital, LP 0.47% 370,490 $3.7M
15 Skylands Capital, LLC 0.44% 338,902 $3.4M
16 Sciencast Management LP 0.42% 334,289 $3.3M
17 Twinbeech Capital LP 0.42% 404,962 $4.0M
18 Private Management Group Inc 0.39% 1,348,661 $13.4M
19 Prelude Capital Management, LLC 0.35% 458,809 $4.6M
20 Aigen Investment Management, LP 0.35% 135,975 $1.4M
21 OpenArc Corporate Advisory, LLC 0.33% 2,353,623 $23.4M
22 Occudo Quantitative Strategies LP 0.31% 596,888 $5.7M
23 Larry Mathis Financial Planning, LLC 0.30% 33,964 $338K
24 Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC 0.29% 18,004,664 $172.7M
25 Carnegie Lake Advisors LLC 0.29% 73,150 $727K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Graphic Packaging Hldg Co (GPK)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GPK?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added GPK than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for GPK?

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying: Last quarter: 282 funds were net buyers (80 opened a brand new position + 202 added to an existing one). Only 191 were sellers (114 trimmed + 77 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for GPK holders?

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds: 57 of 433 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held GPK?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 272 out of 436 hedge funds have held GPK for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Graphic Packaging Hldg Co (GPK) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, GPK has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), GPK has gained nan% vs +8.9% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →