Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Greenfire Res Ltd New (GFR)

42 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GFR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
65%

Smart Money Signals — GFR

Based on 42 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added GFR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
42 hedge funds hold GFR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +17% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+6 new funds entered over the past year (+17% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 65% buying

28 buying15 selling
Last quarter: 28 funds were net buyers (10 opened a brand new position + 18 added to an existing one). Only 15 were sellers (8 trimmed + 7 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 3 → 17 → 10. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 38% entered in last year

■ 10% conviction (2yr+) ■ 52% medium ■ 38% new
Only 4 funds (10%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Value +47% but shares only +11% — price-driven

Value
+47%
Shares
+10%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +47%, but actual share count only changed +11%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~10 new funds/quarter

9 → 3 → 3 → 17 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 3 → 17 → 10. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 12% veterans, 40% new entrants

■ 12% veterans ■ 48% 1-2yr ■ 40% new
Of 42 current holders: 5 (12%) held 2+ years, 20 held 1–2 years, 17 (40%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 19% AUM from top-100

19% from top-100 AUM funds
13 of 42 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 19% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GFR

In 2026 Q1, 28 hedge funds were net buyers of GFR (10 opened a new position, 18 added to an existing one), while 15 reduced or exited (8 trimmed, 7 sold completely) — a 65% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 42.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GFR

How many hedge funds hold GFR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GFR vs. share price

Market Analysis: GFR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GFR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Greenfire Res Ltd New (GFR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much GFR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
GFR
nan%
XLE
-10.8%

GFR outperformed XLE by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
GFR
nan%
XLE
-8.0%

Since the filing became public, GFR outperformed XLE by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GFR
42 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GFR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 42 39 7.69%
13F Shares 13M 12M 10.75%
Total Value $81M $55M 47.15%
New Positions 10 17 -7
Increased Positions 18 12 +6
Closed Positions 7 7 -
Reduced Positions 8 6 +2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: GFR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

42 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GFR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GFR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Moerus Capital Management LLC 5.48% 2,335,804 $14.8M
2 Nokomis Capital, L.L.C. 3.18% 1,751,837 $11.1M
3 Saber Capital Managment, LLC 3.15% 670,713 $4.2M
4 Wexford Capital LP 1.86% 2,027,989 $12.8M
5 Louisbourg Investments INC. 0.49% 411,980 $2.6M
6 Aegis Financial Corp 0.45% 417,548 $2.6M
7 Beverly Hills Private Wealth, LLC 0.39% 373,322 $2.4M
8 Militia Capital Management LLC 0.37% 259,000 $1.6M
9 K2 Principal Fund, L.P. 0.29% 656,440 $4.1M
10 Avise Financial Cooperative, Inc. 0.19% 35,778 $226K
11 Diametric Capital, LP 0.10% 60,693 $385K
12 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 0.10% 182,309 $1.2M
13 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.01% 195,891 $1.2M
14 MetLife Investment Management, LLC 0.01% 403,690 $2.6M
15 Turtle Creek Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.01% 22,250 $141K
16 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 37,745 $239K
17 WINTON GROUP Ltd 0.00% 13,500 $85K
18 Bank of Montreal /Can/ 0.00% 1,016,682 $6.4M
19 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 161,262 $1.0M
20 Walleye Capital LLC 0.00% 59,864 $378K
21 Trexquant Investment LP 0.00% 31,925 $202K
22 Cibc World Market INC. 0.00% 139,771 $888K
23 WealthCollab, LLC 0.00% 487 $3K
24 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 0.00% 16,341 $103K
25 UBS Group AG 0.00% 787,333 $5.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Greenfire Res Ltd New (GFR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GFR?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added GFR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for GFR?

More buyers than sellers — 65% buying: Last quarter: 28 funds were net buyers (10 opened a brand new position + 18 added to an existing one). Only 15 were sellers (8 trimmed + 7 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for GFR holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 19% AUM from top-100: 13 of 42 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 19% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held GFR?

Mostly new holders — 38% entered in last year: Only 4 funds (10%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Greenfire Res Ltd New (GFR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, GFR has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -8.0% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), GFR has gained nan% vs -10.8% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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