Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

GUESS INC (GES)

160 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — GES

Based on 152 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
📊

High ownership — 79% of 3.0Y peak

79% of all-time peak
152 funds currently hold this stock — 79% of the 3.0-year high of 193 funds (reached 2024 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 6% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
10 fewer hedge funds hold GES compared to a year ago (-6% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

74 buying83 selling
Last quarter: 83 funds reduced or exited vs 74 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~27 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 47 → 35 → 30 → 27. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

62% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 21% new
94 out of 152 hedge funds have held GES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

28 → 47 → 35 → 30 → 27 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 47 → 35 → 30 → 27. GES is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years

69% veterans 9% 1-2yr 22% new
Of 160 current holders: 110 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 42% AUM from top-100 funds

42% from top-100 AUM funds
30 of 152 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 42% of total institutional value in GES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GES

How many hedge funds hold GES — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GES vs. share price

Market Analysis: GES

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GES

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

31 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GES
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 22 days 160 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 160 159 0.63%
13F Shares 30M 31M -3.38%
Total Value $499M $515M -3.08%
New Positions 27 30 -3
Increased Positions 58 69 -11
Closed Positions 27 50 -23
Reduced Positions 65 58 +7
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 9 10 -10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 2.25 2.5 Bearish

Statistics: GES

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Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

160 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GES. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 1 institutional holders of GES — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 146 $2K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — GUESS INC (GES)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GES?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for GES?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 83 funds reduced or exited vs 74 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for GES holders?

Elite ownership — 42% AUM from top-100 funds: 30 of 152 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 42% of total institutional value in GES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held GES?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 94 out of 152 hedge funds have held GES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.