Based on 68 hedge funds · latest filing: 2012 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (97% of max)
97% of all-time peak
68 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
📶
Steady growth — +5% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+3 new funds entered over the past year (+5% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 41% buying
28 buying40 selling
Last quarter: 40 funds reduced or exited vs 28 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-14 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 7 → 8 → 24 → 10. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
60% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 60% conviction (2yr+)
■ 12% medium
■ 28% new
41 out of 68 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+15% value, -1% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional GEOY holdings rose +15% even though funds reduced share count by 1%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
10 → 7 → 8 → 24 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 7 → 8 → 24 → 10. A growing number of institutions are discovering this stock each quarter. The idea is still spreading — there is room for more buyers to enter.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 66% veterans
■ 6% 1-2yr
■ 28% new
Of 68 current holders: 45 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 29% from major AUM funds
29% from top-100 AUM funds
20 of 68 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.