Based on 79 hedge funds · latest filing: 2012 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their GEOY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
79 hedge funds hold GEOY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+6 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 41% buying
32 buying46 selling
Last quarter: 46 funds reduced or exited vs 32 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-16 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 8 → 26 → 10. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+14% value, -2% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional GEOY holdings rose +14% even though funds reduced share count by 2%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~10 new funds/quarter
10 → 9 → 8 → 26 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 9 → 8 → 26 → 10. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.