Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Geo Group Inc (GEO)

288 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in GEO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +29
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — GEO

Based on 293 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added GEO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
293 hedge funds hold GEO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding GEO is almost the same as a year ago (+3 funds, +1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

156 buying145 selling
Last quarter: 156 funds bought or added vs 145 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new GEO position: 45 → 52 → 50 → 71. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 22% new
179 out of 293 hedge funds have held GEO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+75% value, -3% shares)

Value
+74%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: total value of institutional GEO holdings rose +75% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

38 → 45 → 52 → 50 → 71 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 45 → 52 → 50 → 71. A growing number of institutions are discovering GEO each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 312 holders: 206 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 41 entered 1–2 years ago, and 65 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
47 of 289 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in GEO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — GEO

In 2026 Q2, 156 hedge funds were net buyers of GEO (71 opened a new position, 85 added to an existing one), while 145 reduced or exited (103 trimmed, 42 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 49% of total institutional value in GEO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +29 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 293.

Hedge Fund Ownership: GEO

How many hedge funds hold GEO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of GEO vs. share price

Market Analysis: GEO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: GEO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

12 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
4.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: GEO
288 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in GEO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 288 264 9.09%
13F Shares 133M 137M -2.96%
Total Value $3.79B $2.17B 74.69%
New Positions 71 50 +21
Increased Positions 80 84 -4
Closed Positions 43 60 -17
Reduced Positions 97 92 +5
Total Calls 12 14 -14.29%
Total Puts 10 12 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.83 0.86 Neutral

Statistics: GEO

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

288 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in GEO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 GEO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Continental General Insurance Co 30.35% 4,925,578 $145.6M
2 Kore Advisors LP 20.55% 669,134 $19.8M
3 Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd 17.86% 2,656,580 $78.5M
4 KCM Capital Inc 7.17% 1,500,000 $44.3M
5 Findell Capital Management LLC 3.33% 800,000 $23.6M
6 Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC 2.89% 484,100 $14.3M
7 Kanen Wealth Management LLC 2.69% 370,593 $11.1M
8 Ballast Asset Management, LP 2.37% 200,700 $5.9M
9 Windward Management LP 2.24% 250,100 $7.4M
10 Hodges Capital Management Inc. 1.92% 980,259 $29.0M
11 Pentwater Capital Management LP 1.91% 10,582,000 $312.7M
12 Emmett Investment Management, LP 1.91% 89,867 $2.7M
13 Philosophy Capital Management LLC 1.57% 1,122,440 $33.2M
14 Discovery Capital Management, LLC / Ct 1.54% 1,258,600 $37.2M
15 Park West Asset Management LLC 1.53% 760,097 $22.5M
16 Harber Asset Management LLC 1.37% 77,358 $2.3M
17 Luxor Capital Group, LP 1.36% 1,155,516 $34.1M
18 Lee Danner & Bass Inc 1.17% 685,500 $20.3M
19 Intrinsic Edge Capital Management LLC 1.15% 377,301 $11.1M
20 Rubric Capital Management LP 1.12% 4,131,219 $122.1M
21 Shay Capital LLC 0.93% 489,900 $14.5M
22 Goldentree Asset Management LP 0.88% 511,000 $15.1M
23 Garnet Equity Capital Holdings, INC. 0.84% 150,546 $4.4M
24 ArrowMark Colorado Holdings LLC 0.49% 397,000 $11.7M
25 First Dallas Securities Inc. 0.43% 43,920 $1.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Geo Group Inc (GEO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for GEO?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added GEO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for GEO?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 156 funds bought or added vs 145 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for GEO holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 47 of 289 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in GEO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held GEO?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 179 out of 293 hedge funds have held GEO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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