Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 80% of 2.5Y peak
80% of all-time peak
20 funds currently hold this stock — 80% of the 2.5-year high of 25 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 20% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
5 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-20% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
3 buying6 selling
Last quarter: 6 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 4 → 4 → 0 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 10% entered in last year
■ 5% conviction (2yr+)
■ 85% medium
■ 10% new
Only 1 funds (5%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -16%, value -99%
Last quarter: funds added -16% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -99%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
24 → 4 → 4 → 0 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 4 → 4 → 0 → 0. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 95% of holders entered in last year
■ 5% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 95% new
Of 20 current holders: 19 (95%) entered in the past year, only 1 (5%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 20% from major AUM funds
20% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 20 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.