Based on 388 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FOUR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 90% of 3.0Y peak
90% of all-time peak
388 funds currently hold this stock — 90% of the 3.0-year high of 431 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉
Outflows — 5% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
22 fewer hedge funds hold FOUR compared to a year ago (-5% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 44% buying
214 buying267 selling
Last quarter: 267 funds reduced or exited vs 214 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+9 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new FOUR position: 70 → 76 → 68 → 77. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
48% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 48% conviction (2yr+)
■ 28% medium
■ 23% new
188 out of 388 hedge funds have held FOUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -3%, value -71%
Last quarter: funds added -3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -71%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~77 new funds/quarter
111 → 70 → 76 → 68 → 77 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 70 → 76 → 68 → 77. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 55% veterans
■ 14% 1-2yr
■ 30% new
Of 415 current holders: 229 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds
28% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 388 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.