Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Forestar Group Inc (FOR)

182 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +18
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — FOR

Based on 184 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FOR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
184 hedge funds hold FOR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +23% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+34 new funds entered over the past year (+23% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

100 buying69 selling
Last quarter: 100 funds bought or added vs 69 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~38 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 27 → 28 → 35 → 38. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 22% new
100 out of 184 hedge funds have held FOR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +36% but shares only +6% — price-driven

Value
+36%
Shares
+6%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +36%, but actual share count only changed +6%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

17 → 27 → 28 → 35 → 38 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 28 → 35 → 38. A growing number of institutions are discovering FOR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 22% newcomers

■ 63% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 185 holders: 116 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 28 entered 1–2 years ago, and 41 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds

64% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 183 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in FOR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FOR

In 2026 Q2, 100 hedge funds were net buyers of FOR (38 opened a new position, 62 added to an existing one), while 69 reduced or exited (49 trimmed, 20 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 64% of total institutional value in FOR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +18 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 184.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FOR

How many hedge funds hold FOR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FOR vs. share price

Market Analysis: FOR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FOR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FOR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 60d ago
FOR
-9.6%
XLRE
-5.7%

FOR outperformed XLRE by -3.9% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 15d ago
FOR
-2.8%
XLRE
-3.9%

Since the filing became public, FOR outperformed XLRE by +1.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FOR
182 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 182 166 9.64%
13F Shares 19M 18M 1.56%
Total Value $578M $443M 30.39%
New Positions 38 35 +3
Increased Positions 61 52 +9
Closed Positions 21 34 -13
Reduced Positions 49 43 +6
Total Calls 2 1 100.0%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: FOR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

182 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FOR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 FOR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Woodson Capital Management, LP 1.91% 360,000 $11.4M
2 Sandler Capital Management 1.24% 79,222 $2.5M
3 Denali Advisors LLC 0.93% 292,662 $9.3M
4 Heartland Advisors Inc 0.67% 474,813 $15.0M
5 Moody Aldrich Partners LLC 0.67% 117,361 $3.7M
6 Total Wealth Planning & Management, Inc. 0.58% 26,953 $853K
7 Hussman Strategic Advisors, INC. 0.38% 52,500 $1.7M
8 R Squared Ltd 0.19% 11,663 $369K
9 Invenomic Capital Management LP 0.18% 97,525 $3.1M
10 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.17% 7,766 $248K
11 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.14% 246,478 $7.8M
12 Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd 0.12% 17,515 $554K
13 PDT Partners, LLC 0.08% 49,376 $1.6M
14 Martingale Asset Management L P 0.07% 92,615 $2.9M
15 Ares Systematic Credit Ltd 0.06% 3,052 $97K
16 Algert Global LLC 0.06% 147,704 $4.7M
17 Lee Danner & Bass Inc 0.05% 26,745 $846K
18 Ktf Investments, LLC 0.04% 13,000 $411K
19 JBF Capital, Inc. 0.04% 9,000 $285K
20 Shufro Rose & Co LLC 0.03% 16,000 $506K
21 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.03% 166,478 $5.3M
22 Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc 0.03% 239,737 $7.6M
23 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.02% 39,275 $1.2M
24 SummitTX Capital, L.P. 0.02% 22,599 $715K
25 NewEdge Wealth, LLC 0.02% 57,390 $1.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Forestar Group Inc (FOR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FOR?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FOR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for FOR?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 100 funds bought or added vs 69 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for FOR holders?

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds: 46 of 183 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in FOR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held FOR?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 100 out of 184 hedge funds have held FOR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Forestar Group Inc (FOR) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FOR has moved -2.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -3.9% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.1%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), FOR has gained -9.6% vs -5.7% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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