Stock Analysis

FORESTAR GROUP INC (FOR)

138 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +8
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — FOR

Based on 159 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
📊

High ownership — 87% of 3.0Y peak

87% of all-time peak
159 funds currently hold this stock — 87% of the 3.0-year high of 183 funds (reached 2024 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock is almost the same as a year ago (-3 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — the institutional base is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

70 buying84 selling
Last quarter: 84 funds reduced or exited vs 70 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~27 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 24 → 17 → 25 → 27. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

62% conviction (2yr+) 25% medium 14% new
98 out of 159 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

24 → 24 → 17 → 25 → 27 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 24 → 17 → 25 → 27. A growing number of institutions are discovering this stock each quarter. The idea is still spreading — there is room for more buyers to enter.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years

66% veterans 12% 1-2yr 22% new
Of 160 current holders: 106 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 62% AUM from top-100 funds

62% from top-100 AUM funds
30 of 159 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 62% of total institutional value in this stock. When the biggest players hold the majority of a position, it reflects deep institutional conviction — large funds have the most resources for due diligence and the most at stake.
2.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FOR

How many hedge funds hold FOR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FOR vs. share price

Market Analysis: FOR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FOR

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Hedge Fund Positioning: FOR
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 48 days 138 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 138 135 2.22%
13F Shares 16M 17M -4.69%
Total Value $389M $443M -12.26%
New Positions 20 23 -3
Increased Positions 42 53 -11
Closed Positions 17 18 -1
Reduced Positions 58 41 +17
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 0 1 -100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 1.0 Bullish

Statistics: FOR

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)
138 + investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FOR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed