Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY)

151 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +32
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
67%

Smart Money Signals — FLY

Based on 139 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FLY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
139 hedge funds hold FLY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +83% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+63 new funds entered over the past year (+83% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 67% buying

104 buying51 selling
Last quarter: 104 funds were net buyers (64 opened a brand new position + 40 added to an existing one). Only 51 were sellers (19 trimmed + 32 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-42 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 14 → 0 → 106 → 64. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 66% entered in last year

24% conviction (2yr+) 9% medium 66% new
Only 34 funds (24%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +2%, value -21%

Value
-21%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: funds added +2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -21%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

39 → 14 → 0 → 106 → 64 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 14 → 0 → 106 → 64. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🌱

Early stage — 56% of holders entered in last year

44% veterans 0% 1-2yr 56% new
Of 151 current holders: 85 (56%) entered in the past year, only 66 (44%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100

16% from top-100 AUM funds
28 of 139 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
6.7
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.7/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FLY

How many hedge funds hold FLY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FLY vs. share price

Market Analysis: FLY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FLY

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

27 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FLY
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 20 days 151 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FLY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 151 114 32.46%
13F Shares 61M 60M 1.66%
Total Value $1.35B $1.71B -21.26%
New Positions 67 114 -47
Increased Positions 58 0 +58
Closed Positions 33 0 +33
Reduced Positions 25 0 +25
Total Calls 8 4 100.0%
Total Puts 8 4 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: FLY

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
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Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

151 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FLY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of FLY — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 REX Advisers, LLC 2.53% 29,400 $837K
2 REX Advisers, LLC 0.59% 58,800 $197K
3 LBP AM SA 0.29% 740,026 $21.1M
4 PENNEY FINANCIAL, LLC 0.25% 22,793 $649K
5 Huntleigh Advisors, Inc. 0.23% 46,546 $1.3M
6 THOMPSON DAVIS & CO., INC. 0.15% 7,735 $220K
7 Activest Wealth Management 0.04% 7,016 $200K
8 Stratos Wealth Partners, LTD. 0.02% 74,043 $2.1M
9 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.01% 26,282 $748K
10 TOTH FINANCIAL ADVISORY CORP 0.01% 4,020 $114K
11 Golden State Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 3,790 $108K
12 REX Advisers, LLC 0.01% 58,800 $4K
13 Tradewinds Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 1,824 $52K
14 OPPENHEIMER & CO INC 0.01% 29,115 $829K
15 SIGNATUREFD, LLC 0.01% 22,838 $650K
16 WEDBUSH SECURITIES INC 0.01% 7,300
17 EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC 0.00% 16,876 $480K
18 TEMA ETFS LLC 0.00% 1,708 $49K
19 NBC SECURITIES, INC. 0.00% 1,362 $39K
20 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 3,103 $88K
21 Pacifica Partners Inc. 0.00% 200 $6K
22 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.00% 6,847 $195K
23 Fortitude Family Office, LLC 0.00% 170 $5K
24 KLP KAPITALFORVALTNING AS 0.00% 7,000 $199K
25 Leonteq Securities AG 0.00% 589 $17K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — FIREFLY AEROSPACE INC (FLY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FLY?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FLY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for FLY?

More buyers than sellers — 67% buying: Last quarter: 104 funds were net buyers (64 opened a brand new position + 40 added to an existing one). Only 51 were sellers (19 trimmed + 32 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for FLY holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100: 28 of 139 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held FLY?

Mostly new holders — 66% entered in last year: Only 34 funds (24%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.