Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

849 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FICO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -123
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
39%

Smart Money Signals — FICO

Based on 855 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FICO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
855 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 1,002 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 9% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
89 fewer hedge funds hold FICO compared to a year ago (-9% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying

379 buying601 selling
Last quarter: 601 funds sold vs only 379 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-58 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 166 → 126 → 166 → 108. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 20% new
527 out of 855 hedge funds have held FICO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -12%, value -37%

Value
-36%
Shares
-11%
Last quarter: funds added -12% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -37%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~108 new funds/quarter

104 → 166 → 126 → 166 → 108 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 166 → 126 → 166 → 108. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 23% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 884 holders: 567 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 115 entered 1–2 years ago, and 202 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
67 of 850 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in FICO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FICO

In 2026 Q1, 379 hedge funds were net buyers of FICO (108 opened a new position, 271 added to an existing one), while 601 reduced or exited (370 trimmed, 231 sold completely) — a 39% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. 47% of total institutional value in FICO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -123 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 855.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FICO

How many hedge funds hold FICO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FICO vs. share price

Market Analysis: FICO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FICO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FICO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 87d ago
FICO
+11.6%
XLK
+37.9%

FICO outperformed XLK by -26.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 42d ago
FICO
+8.5%
XLK
+4.0%

Since the filing became public, FICO outperformed XLK by +4.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

58 top-rated funds 10 high-conviction
Consensus
7.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FICO
849 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FICO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 849 978 -13.19%
13F Shares 22M 25M -11.71%
Total Value $22.94B $36.36B -36.91%
New Positions 105 166 -61
Increased Positions 264 310 -46
Closed Positions 234 112 +122
Reduced Positions 357 351 +6
Total Calls 18 13 38.46%
Total Puts 16 14 14.29%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.89 1.08 Neutral

Statistics: FICO

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

849 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FICO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 FICO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 AF Advisors, Inc. 74.41% 126,056 $134.6M
2 Valley Forge Capital Management, LP 24.33% 769,342 $821.3M
3 Freshford Capital Management, LLC 13.57% 25,450 $27.2M
4 Teachers Insurance & Annuity Association of America 10.72% 8,008 $8.5M
5 Heard Capital LLC 9.85% 178,410 $190.5M
6 Coalescence Partners Investment Management, LP 9.29% 40,267 $43.0M
7 Lindsell Train Ltd 8.49% 249,422 $266.3M
8 Kensico Capital Management Corp 8.39% 385,000 $411.0M
9 Akre Capital Management LLC 6.33% 363,765 $388.3M
10 No Street GP LP 5.82% 81,750 $87.3M
11 Bowie Capital Management, LLC 5.56% 141,165 $150.7M
12 GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd 5.52% 38,958 $41.6M
13 OAKMONT Corp 5.10% 25,137 $26.8M
14 Ycg, LLC 4.72% 48,818 $52.1M
15 Spyglass Capital Management LLC 4.53% 56,350 $60.2M
16 Warther Private Wealth, LLC 4.30% 17,163 $18.3M
17 HMI Capital Management, L.P. 3.76% 26,600 $28.4M
18 Edgewood Management LLC 3.70% 537,515 $573.8M
19 M.D. Sass, LLC 3.58% 44,221 $47.2M
20 Ebert Capital Management Inc. 3.41% 3,124 $3.3M
21 Nutshell Asset Management Ltd 2.99% 5,150 $5.5M
22 Lgt Capital Partners LTD. 2.84% 50,000 $53.4M
23 Investidor Profissional Gestao de Recursos Ltda. 2.67% 7,656 $8.2M
24 11 Capital Partners LP 2.65% 8,665 $9.3M
25 Petrus Trust Company, LTA 2.62% 22,470 $24.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FICO?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FICO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for FICO?

Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying: Last quarter: 601 funds sold vs only 379 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for FICO holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 67 of 850 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in FICO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held FICO?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 527 out of 855 hedge funds have held FICO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FICO has moved +8.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.0% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +4.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), FICO has gained +11.6% vs +37.9% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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