Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

833 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FICO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -12
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — FICO

Based on 846 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FICO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak

84% of all-time peak
846 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 1,004 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 16% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
158 fewer hedge funds hold FICO compared to a year ago (-16% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

398 buying482 selling
Last quarter: 482 funds reduced or exited vs 398 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+14 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new FICO position: 126 → 166 → 109 → 123. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 66% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 16% new
556 out of 846 hedge funds have held FICO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +356%, value +12%

Value
+12%
Shares
+356%
Last quarter: funds added +356% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +12%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

168 → 126 → 166 → 109 → 123 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 126 → 166 → 109 → 123. FICO is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 878 holders: 580 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 113 entered 1–2 years ago, and 185 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds

60% from top-100 AUM funds
69 of 839 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in FICO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FICO

In 2026 Q2, 398 hedge funds were net buyers of FICO (123 opened a new position, 275 added to an existing one), while 482 reduced or exited (347 trimmed, 135 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 60% of total institutional value in FICO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -12 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 846.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FICO

How many hedge funds hold FICO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FICO vs. share price

Market Analysis: FICO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FICO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

27 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FICO
833 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FICO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 833 858 -2.91%
13F Shares 61M 22M 174.93%
Total Value $26.08B $23.37B 11.64%
New Positions 121 109 +12
Increased Positions 262 265 -3
Closed Positions 139 230 -91
Reduced Positions 338 361 -23
Total Calls 18 18 -
Total Puts 21 16 31.25%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.17 0.89 Neutral

Statistics: FICO

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

833 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FICO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 FICO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 AF Advisors, Inc. 73.85% 125,840 $150.4M
2 Valley Forge Capital Management, LP 25.77% 672,186 $803.1M
3 Freshford Capital Management, LLC 15.91% 38,911 $46.5M
4 Teachers Insurance & Annuity Association of America 10.56% 8,008 $9.6M
5 Lindsell Train Ltd 10.28% 226,186 $270.2M
6 Heard Capital LLC 10.00% 195,527 $233.6M
7 Akre Capital Management LLC 8.44% 361,826 $432.3M
8 GCQ FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY Ltd 7.86% 47,472 $56.7M
9 Kensico Capital Management Corp 7.65% 373,500 $446.3M
10 Coalescence Partners Investment Management, LP 6.66% 18,976 $22.7M
11 Ycg, LLC 6.54% 62,236 $74.4M
12 Cypress Funds LLC 6.52% 24,283 $25.9M
13 Owlhouse Capital LP 5.98% 3,260 $3.9M
14 No Street GP LP 5.87% 81,750 $97.7M
15 Warther Private Wealth, LLC 5.39% 20,581 $24.6M
16 OAKMONT Corp 5.31% 22,338 $26.7M
17 Spyglass Capital Management LLC 4.85% 74,948 $89.5M
18 Bowie Capital Management, LLC 4.29% 84,458 $100.9M
19 Cna Financial Corp 4.25% 8,500 $10.2M
20 Edgewood Management LLC 4.22% 342,818 $409.6M
21 Ebert Capital Management Inc. 3.66% 3,267 $3.9M
22 Investidor Profissional Gestao de Recursos Ltda. 3.45% 4,981 $6.0M
23 Petrus Trust Company, LTA 2.86% 25,470 $30.4M
24 Koa Wealth Management, LLC 2.69% 3,313 $4.0M
25 Lgt Capital Partners LTD. 2.26% 37,346 $44.6M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FICO?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FICO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for FICO?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 482 funds reduced or exited vs 398 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for FICO holders?

Elite ownership — 60% AUM from top-100 funds: 69 of 839 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 60% of total institutional value in FICO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held FICO?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 556 out of 846 hedge funds have held FICO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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