Based on 89 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FGDL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
89 hedge funds hold FGDL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +424% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+72 new funds entered over the past year (+424% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 34% buying
34 buying65 selling
Last quarter: 65 funds sold vs only 34 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-13 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 48 → 32 → 19. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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Mostly new holders — 75% entered in last year
■ 6% conviction (2yr+)
■ 19% medium
■ 75% new
Only 5 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
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Steady discovery — ~19 new funds/quarter
9 → 12 → 48 → 32 → 19 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 48 → 32 → 19. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Early stage — 85% of holders entered in last year
■ 11% veterans
■ 3% 1-2yr
■ 85% new
Of 89 current holders: 76 (85%) entered in the past year, only 10 (11%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds
39% from top-100 AUM funds
11 of 89 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 7.6/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 98% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Selling pressure exceeds buying: only 34% of active funds buying. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.