Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Ferrovial NV (FER)

327 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +21
Streak
9Q ▲
Buyers last Q
60%

Smart Money Signals — FER

Based on 331 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
331 hedge funds hold FER right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +96% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+162 new funds entered over the past year (+96% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying

206 buying138 selling
Last quarter: 206 funds were net buyers (56 opened a brand new position + 150 added to an existing one). Only 138 were sellers (103 trimmed + 35 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 55 → 95 → 71 → 56. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 49% entered in last year

21% conviction (2yr+) 30% medium 49% new
Only 69 funds (21%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

35 → 55 → 95 → 71 → 56 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 55 → 95 → 71 → 56. FER is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱

Early stage — 58% of holders entered in last year

3% veterans 39% 1-2yr 58% new
Of 340 current holders: 198 (58%) entered in the past year, only 10 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 330 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in FER. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
5.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FER

In 2026 Q2, 206 hedge funds were net buyers of FER (56 opened a new position, 150 added to an existing one), while 138 reduced or exited (103 trimmed, 35 sold completely) — a 60% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 9 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 55% of total institutional value in FER is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +21 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 331.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FER

How many hedge funds hold FER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FER vs. share price

Market Analysis: FER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FER

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Ferrovial NV (FER) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FER has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
FER
-18.5%
XLI
-8.0%

FER outperformed XLI by -10.5% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
FER
-12.8%
XLI
-8.6%

Since the filing became public, FER outperformed XLI by -4.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

14 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
5.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FER
327 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 327 310 5.48%
13F Shares 241M 211M 14.14%
Total Value $16.16B $13.10B 23.38%
New Positions 55 71 -16
Increased Positions 147 117 +30
Closed Positions 37 29 +8
Reduced Positions 100 94 +6
Total Calls 6 4 50.0%
Total Puts 4 4 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 1.0 Bullish

Statistics: FER

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

327 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 FER holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Landesbank Baden-Wuerttemberg 82.67% 3,250,000 $222.2M
2 Exane Asset Management 9.12% 368,047 $25.2M
3 Vennlight Capital Management, LP 5.34% 116,166 $8.0M
4 Banco Santander, S.A. 4.19% 9,814,016 $673.3M
5 Harrison Street Private Wealth LLC 4.10% 42,471 $2.9M
6 Cooper Investors Pty Ltd 4.07% 129,165 $8.9M
7 ANTIPODES PARTNERS Ltd 3.36% 2,677,153 $183.6M
8 Ausbil Investment Management Ltd 2.79% 91,695 $6.2M
9 TCI Fund Management Ltd 2.72% 20,940,441 $1.43B
10 Partners Group Holding AG 2.46% 521,376 $36.1M
11 Lazard Asset Management LLC 1.54% 14,820,723 $1.02B
12 Thornburg Investment Management Inc 1.12% 1,712,697 $117.3M
13 Goodman Advisory Group, LLC 1.11% 70,261 $4.8M
14 J. Safra Sarasin Holding AG 0.99% 1,071,505 $68.7M
15 Triasima Portfolio Management inc. 0.97% 105,043 $7.2M
16 Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board 0.94% 2,154,592 $147.6M
17 Skye Global Management LP 0.88% 656,000 $45.0M
18 Opal Capital LLC 0.83% 68,046 $4.7M
19 Sterling Investment Management, LLC 0.70% 18,631 $1.3M
20 Maryland State Retirement & Pension System 0.69% 591,089 $40.5M
21 71 West Capital Partners 0.50% 211,595 $14.5M
22 Occudo Quantitative Strategies LP 0.50% 137,391 $9.4M
23 Cloverfields Capital Group, LP 0.47% 22,575 $1.5M
24 ING Groep NV 0.39% 1,162,749 $79.6M
25 Fremen Capital Management LP 0.36% 6,000 $412K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Ferrovial NV (FER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FER?

Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row: For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added FER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for FER?

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying: Last quarter: 206 funds were net buyers (56 opened a brand new position + 150 added to an existing one). Only 138 were sellers (103 trimmed + 35 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for FER holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 330 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in FER. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held FER?

Mostly new holders — 49% entered in last year: Only 69 funds (21%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Ferrovial NV (FER) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FER has moved -12.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -8.6% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -4.2%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), FER has gained -18.5% vs -8.0% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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