Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FCTE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 61% of 1.5Y high
61% of all-time peak
Only 20 funds hold FCTE today versus a peak of 33 funds at 2025 Q2 — just 61% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 23% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
6 fewer hedge funds hold FCTE compared to a year ago (-23% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 30% buying
7 buying16 selling
Last quarter: 16 funds sold vs only 7 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 12 → 3 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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Mostly new holders — 45% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 55% medium
■ 45% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
12 → 6 → 12 → 3 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 12 → 3 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
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Early stage — 65% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 35% 1-2yr
■ 65% new
Of 20 current holders: 13 (65%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.