Based on 622 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FBTC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (99% of max)
99% of all-time peak
622 hedge funds hold FBTC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +28% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+136 new funds entered over the past year (+28% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 62% buying
408 buying249 selling
Last quarter: 408 funds were net buyers (105 opened a brand new position + 303 added to an existing one). Only 249 were sellers (136 trimmed + 113 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+12 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new FBTC position: 73 → 118 → 93 → 105. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 30% entered in last year
■ 2% conviction (2yr+)
■ 67% medium
■ 30% new
Only 15 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -30%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -30%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~105 new funds/quarter
189 → 73 → 118 → 93 → 105 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 73 → 118 → 93 → 105. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 1% veterans, 54% new entrants
■ 1% veterans
■ 45% 1-2yr
■ 54% new
Of 632 current holders: 6 (1%) held 2+ years, 286 held 1–2 years, 340 (54%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 4% AUM from top-100
4% from top-100 AUM funds
16 of 622 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 4% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.