Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACTW)

32 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in FACTW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
18%

Smart Money Signals — FACTW

Based on 32 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FACTW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 2.2Y peak

89% of all-time peak
32 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 2.2-year high of 36 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +45% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+10 new funds entered over the past year (+45% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 18% buying

4 buying18 selling
Last quarter: 18 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 2 → 4 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 22% entered in last year

■ 0% conviction (2yr+) ■ 78% medium ■ 22% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

15 → 12 → 2 → 4 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 2 → 4 → 3. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 88% of holders entered in last year

■ 0% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 88% new
Of 32 current holders: 28 (88%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 3% AUM from top-100

3% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 32 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 3% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.9
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.9/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — FACTW

In 2026 Q1, 4 hedge funds were net buyers of FACTW (3 opened a new position, 1 added to an existing one), while 18 reduced or exited (11 trimmed, 7 sold completely) — a 18% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net fund flow last quarter: -4 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 32.

Hedge Fund Ownership: FACTW

How many hedge funds hold FACTW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of FACTW vs. share price

Market Analysis: FACTW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: FACTW

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACTW) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much FACTW has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 91d ago
FACTW
+50.0%
SPY
+13.7%

FACTW outperformed SPY by +36.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 46d ago
FACTW
+46.3%
SPY
+0.1%

Since the filing became public, FACTW outperformed SPY by +46.2% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: FACTW
32 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in FACTW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 32 36 -11.11%
13F Shares 7M 8M -13.14%
Total Value $3M $3M -7.29%
New Positions 3 4 -1
Increased Positions 1 2 -1
Closed Positions 7 1 +6
Reduced Positions 11 9 +2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: FACTW

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

32 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in FACTW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 FACTW holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Wealthspring Capital LLC 0.03% 334,470 $134K
2 Gritstone Asset Management LLC 0.02% 50,000 $20K
3 Bulldog Investors, LLP 0.01% 86,299 $35K
4 Context Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 796,976 $319K
5 K2 Principal Fund, L.P. 0.01% 183,386 $73K
6 Rivernorth Capital Management, LLC 0.00% 249,743 $100K
7 Shaolin Capital Management LLC 0.00% 312,714 $125K
8 Periscope Capital INC. 0.00% 98,101 $39K
9 AQR Arbitrage LLC 0.00% 640,798 $256K
10 Heights Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 30,000 $12K
11 Saba Capital Management, L.P. 0.00% 237,350 $95K
12 Lineage Point Capital LP 0.00% 20,000 $8K
13 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.00% 300,000 $120K
14 Magnetar Financial LLC 0.00% 419,597 $168K
15 Readystate Asset Management LP 0.00% 68,820 $28K
16 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 0.00% 53,872 $22K
17 Css LLC/Il 0.00% 49,400 $20K
18 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.00% 125,000 $50K
19 Picton Mahoney Asset Management 0.00% 150,000 $60K
20 LMR Partners LLP 0.00% 501,235 $200K
21 Moore Capital Management, LP 0.00% 50,000 $20K
22 Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund 0.00% 500,000 $200K
23 Alberta Investment Management Corp 0.00% 125,000 $50K
24 Clear Street Group Inc. 0.00% 161,566 $65K
25 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.00% 99,400 $40K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACTW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for FACTW?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FACTW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for FACTW?

Heavy selling pressure — only 18% buying: Last quarter: 18 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for FACTW holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 3% AUM from top-100: 1 of 32 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 3% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held FACTW?

Mostly new holders — 22% entered in last year: Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Fact II Acquisition Corp (FACTW) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, FACTW has moved +46.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.1% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +46.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), FACTW has gained +50.0% vs +13.7% for SPY. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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