Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Expedia Group Inc (EXPE)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in EXPE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -51
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — EXPE

Based on 1097 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their EXPE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
1,097 hedge funds hold EXPE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+195 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

566 buying613 selling
Last quarter: 613 funds reduced or exited vs 566 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-92 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 143 → 170 → 239 → 147. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 21% new
619 out of 1,097 hedge funds have held EXPE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -27%

Value
-26%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -27%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

145 → 143 → 170 → 239 → 147 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 143 → 170 → 239 → 147. A growing number of institutions are discovering EXPE each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 64% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 64% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,145 holders: 734 (64%) are 2+ year veterans, 120 entered 1–2 years ago, and 291 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 43% AUM from top-100 funds

43% from top-100 AUM funds
62 of 1091 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 43% of total institutional value in EXPE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — EXPE

In 2026 Q1, 566 hedge funds were net buyers of EXPE (147 opened a new position, 419 added to an existing one), while 613 reduced or exited (415 trimmed, 198 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 43% of total institutional value in EXPE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -51 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1097.

Hedge Fund Ownership: EXPE

How many hedge funds hold EXPE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of EXPE vs. share price

Market Analysis: EXPE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: EXPE

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much EXPE has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
EXPE
-2.6%
XLY
+7.0%

EXPE outperformed XLY by -9.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
EXPE
+3.5%
XLY
+0.1%

Since the filing became public, EXPE outperformed XLY by +3.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

76 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
8.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: EXPE
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in EXPE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1086 1148 -5.4%
13F Shares 112M 121M -7.19%
Total Value $24.87B $33.92B -26.68%
New Positions 142 239 -97
Increased Positions 396 401 -5
Closed Positions 204 90 +114
Reduced Positions 403 355 +48
Total Calls 29 27 7.41%
Total Puts 24 31 -22.58%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.83 1.15 Neutral

Statistics: EXPE

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in EXPE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 EXPE holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Par Capital Management Inc 13.06% 1,952,120 $450.7M
2 Windacre Partnership LLC 8.48% 3,433,400 $792.7M
3 Permit Capital, LLC 6.04% 77,000 $17.8M
4 Goodnow Investment Group, LLC 5.51% 217,752 $50.3M
5 Lyrical Asset Management LP 5.25% 1,489,983 $344.0M
6 Ranmore Fund Management Ltd 3.97% 130,000 $30.0M
7 Stanley Capital Management, LLC 3.92% 101,630 $23.5M
8 Ahara Advisors LLC 3.76% 14,609 $4.1M
9 Seizert Capital Partners, LLC 2.73% 256,989 $59.3M
10 Westbourne Investment Advisors, Inc. 2.52% 37,512 $8.7M
11 Warther Private Wealth, LLC 2.07% 38,280 $8.8M
12 Point Windward Advisors Inc. 1.79% 15,505 $3.6M
13 Flagship Capital Management Inc. 1.74% 10,253 $2.4M
14 Darwins River Capital, LP 1.65% 13,372 $3.1M
15 Fairview Capital Investment Management, LLC 1.58% 126,318 $29.2M
16 U S Global Investors Inc 1.51% 56,029 $12.9M
17 Patient Capital Management, LLC 1.42% 167,784 $38.7M
18 Abacus FCF Advisors LLC 1.42% 27,250 $6.3M
19 Hall Kathryn A. 1.40% 12,150 $2.6M
20 Collaborative Fund Advisors, LLC 1.34% 9,373 $2.2M
21 Millington Financial Advisors, LLC 1.31% 12,666 $3.1M
22 Stock Yards Bank & Trust Co 1.30% 180,324 $41.6M
23 Element Squared LLC 1.28% 9,847 $2.3M
24 Altman Advisors, Inc. 1.22% 12,735 $2.9M
25 Ardmore Road Asset Management LP 1.14% 75,000 $17.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Expedia Group Inc (EXPE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for EXPE?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their EXPE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for EXPE?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 613 funds reduced or exited vs 566 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for EXPE holders?

Elite ownership — 43% AUM from top-100 funds: 62 of 1091 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 43% of total institutional value in EXPE. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held EXPE?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 619 out of 1,097 hedge funds have held EXPE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, EXPE has moved +3.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.1% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +3.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), EXPE has gained -2.6% vs +7.0% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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