Based on 900 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added EXPD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
900 hedge funds hold EXPD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +10% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+84 new funds entered over the past year (+10% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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Slight buying edge — 52% buying
443 buying406 selling
Last quarter: 443 funds bought or added vs 406 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Fewer new buyers each quarter (-45 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 83 → 96 → 164 → 119. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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67% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 67% conviction (2yr+)
■ 16% medium
■ 17% new
602 out of 900 hedge funds have held EXPD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
106 → 83 → 96 → 164 → 119 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 83 → 96 → 164 → 119. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 21% newcomers
■ 71% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 913 holders: 651 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 72 entered 1–2 years ago, and 190 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
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Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds
40% from top-100 AUM funds
60 of 899 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in EXPD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.