Based on 90 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ESPO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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At the ownership peak (97% of max)
97% of all-time peak
90 hedge funds hold ESPO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 51% buying
45 buying44 selling
Last quarter: 45 funds bought or added vs 44 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-10 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 8 → 24 → 14. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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57% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 57% conviction (2yr+)
■ 28% medium
■ 16% new
51 out of 90 hedge funds have held ESPO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
22 → 6 → 8 → 24 → 14 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 8 → 24 → 14. A growing number of institutions are discovering ESPO each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 66% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Of 90 current holders: 59 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds
52% from top-100 AUM funds
13 of 90 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in ESPO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.