Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Erasca Inc (ERAS)

221 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ERAS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +68
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
73%

Smart Money Signals — ERAS

Based on 222 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ERAS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
222 hedge funds hold ERAS right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +46% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+70 new funds entered over the past year (+46% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 73% buying

175 buying66 selling
Last quarter: 175 funds were net buyers (96 opened a brand new position + 79 added to an existing one). Only 66 were sellers (38 trimmed + 28 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+62 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ERAS position: 25 → 16 → 34 → 96. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 32% long-term, 38% new

32% conviction (2yr+) 30% medium 38% new
Of the 222 current holders: 70 (32%) held >2 years, 67 held 1–2 years, and 85 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💰

Value +416% but shares only +31% — price-driven

Value
+415%
Shares
+30%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +416%, but actual share count only changed +31%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

28 → 25 → 16 → 34 → 96 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 25 → 16 → 34 → 96. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 44% veterans vs 40% newcomers

44% veterans 16% 1-2yr 40% new
Entry-cohort mix of 230 holders: 102 (44%) are 2+ year veterans, 36 entered 1–2 years ago, and 92 (40%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds

20% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 220 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ERAS

In 2026 Q1, 175 hedge funds were net buyers of ERAS (96 opened a new position, 79 added to an existing one), while 66 reduced or exited (38 trimmed, 28 sold completely) — a 73% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 20% of total institutional value in ERAS is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +68 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 222.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ERAS

How many hedge funds hold ERAS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ERAS vs. share price

Market Analysis: ERAS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ERAS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Erasca Inc (ERAS) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ERAS has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
ERAS
-13.2%
XLV
+4.9%

ERAS outperformed XLV by -18.1% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
ERAS
+37.3%
XLV
+6.0%

Since the filing became public, ERAS outperformed XLV by +31.3% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

24 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ERAS
221 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ERAS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 221 154 43.51%
13F Shares 275M 211M 30.54%
Total Value $4.04B $783M 415.87%
New Positions 95 34 +61
Increased Positions 77 43 +34
Closed Positions 28 20 +8
Reduced Positions 37 47 -10
Total Calls 5 4 25.0%
Total Puts 5 2 150.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.5 Neutral

Statistics: ERAS

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

221 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ERAS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ERAS holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 ARCH Venture Management, LLC 16.95% 7,091,557 $114.7M
2 Vivo Capital, LLC 16.41% 12,151,480 $196.6M
3 5AM Venture Management, LLC 15.66% 3,485,971 $56.4M
4 Frazier Life Sciences Management, L.P. 10.27% 24,675,188 $399.2M
5 Venrock Adviser, LLC 9.89% 16,382,812 $265.1M
6 Logos Global Management LP 9.01% 11,150,000 $180.4M
7 Siren, L.L.C. 5.04% 11,244,246 $181.9M
8 Cormorant Asset Management, LP 4.71% 5,800,000 $93.8M
9 Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 4.47% 5,350,000 $86.6M
10 KVP Capital Advisors, LP 4.11% 340,000 $5.5M
11 Acuta Capital Partners, LLC 4.05% 354,575 $5.7M
12 a16z Capital Management, L.L.C. 3.59% 2,862,500 $46.3M
13 Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP 3.44% 10,392,702 $168.2M
14 Silverarc Capital Management, LLC 3.06% 1,851,812 $30.0M
15 Commodore Capital LP 2.97% 3,175,000 $51.4M
16 Rtw Investments, LP 2.60% 16,157,175 $261.4M
17 Spruce Street Capital LP 1.64% 422,543 $6.8M
18 First Turn Management, LLC 1.57% 867,639 $14.0M
19 Suvretta Capital Management, LLC 1.42% 3,434,967 $55.6M
20 Seven Fleet Capital Management LP 1.14% 222,468 $3.6M
21 Rock Springs Capital Management LP 1.05% 1,103,469 $17.9M
22 HighVista Strategies LLC 0.81% 181,069 $2.9M
23 Stempoint Capital LP 0.75% 239,861 $3.9M
24 Parkman Healthcare Partners LLC 0.68% 406,702 $6.6M
25 EcoR1 Capital, LLC 0.62% 900,000 $14.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Erasca Inc (ERAS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ERAS?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ERAS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ERAS?

More buyers than sellers — 73% buying: Last quarter: 175 funds were net buyers (96 opened a brand new position + 79 added to an existing one). Only 66 were sellers (38 trimmed + 28 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for ERAS holders?

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds: 45 of 220 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ERAS?

Mixed — 32% long-term, 38% new: Of the 222 current holders: 70 (32%) held >2 years, 67 held 1–2 years, and 85 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Erasca Inc (ERAS) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ERAS has moved +37.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +6.0% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of +31.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ERAS has gained -13.2% vs +4.9% for XLV. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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