Based on 67 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added EFSI than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
67 hedge funds hold EFSI right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +6600% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+66 new funds entered over the past year (+6600% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
26 buying30 selling
Last quarter: 30 funds reduced or exited vs 26 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-14 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 29 → 27 → 21 → 7. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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Mostly new holders — 69% entered in last year
■ 6% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 69% new
Only 4 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
0 → 29 → 27 → 21 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 27 → 21 → 7. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
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Early stage — 91% of holders entered in last year
■ 9% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 91% new
Of 67 current holders: 61 (91%) entered in the past year, only 6 (9%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds
47% from top-100 AUM funds
22 of 67 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in EFSI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.9
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.9/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.