Stock Analysis

ENCORE CAP GROUP INC (ECPG)

Loading... + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ECPG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Loading...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +4
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — ECPG

Based on 176 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
176 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
📶

Steady growth — +11% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+18 new funds entered over the past year (+11% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

87 buying91 selling
Last quarter: 91 funds reduced or exited vs 87 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 20 → 36 → 38 → 27. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

68% of holders stayed for 2+ years

68% conviction (2yr+) 12% medium 20% new
119 out of 176 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+24% value, -5% shares)

Value
+24%
Shares
-4%
Last quarter: total value of institutional ECPG holdings rose +24% even though funds reduced share count by 5%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

21 → 20 → 36 → 38 → 27 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 20 → 36 → 38 → 27. A growing number of institutions are discovering this stock each quarter. The idea is still spreading — there is room for more buyers to enter.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 75% of holders stayed 2+ years

75% veterans 6% 1-2yr 19% new
Of 179 current holders: 135 (75%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 19% top-100 AUM

19% from top-100 AUM funds
Only 33 of 176 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. The stock is held mostly by smaller and mid-sized funds — the largest institutional players haven't yet built significant positions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ECPG

How many hedge funds hold ECPG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ECPG vs. share price

Market Analysis: ECPG

View More

Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ECPG

-- --
Hedge Fund Positioning: ECPG
Loading... + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ECPG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: ECPG

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --
Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
Loading... + investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ECPG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed