Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

DUOLINGO INC (DUOL)

483 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in DUOL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -73
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — DUOL

Based on 447 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their DUOL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 80% of 3.0Y peak

80% of all-time peak
447 funds currently hold this stock — 80% of the 3.0-year high of 558 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding DUOL is almost the same as a year ago (+13 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

245 buying347 selling
Last quarter: 347 funds reduced or exited vs 245 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~94 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 97 → 156 → 94 → 94. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌

Mixed — 38% long-term, 27% new

38% conviction (2yr+) 35% medium 27% new
Of the 447 current holders: 170 (38%) held >2 years, 158 held 1–2 years, and 119 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -5%, value -48%

Value
-48%
Shares
-5%
Last quarter: funds added -5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -48%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

99 → 97 → 156 → 94 → 94 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 97 → 156 → 94 → 94. DUOL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 45% of holders stayed 2+ years

45% veterans 21% 1-2yr 34% new
Of 483 current holders: 218 (45%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds

40% from top-100 AUM funds
44 of 447 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in DUOL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: DUOL

How many hedge funds hold DUOL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of DUOL vs. share price

Market Analysis: DUOL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: DUOL

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

64 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
7.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: DUOL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 20 days 483 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in DUOL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 483 559 -13.6%
13F Shares 42M 44M -5.41%
Total Value $7.32B $14.13B -48.19%
New Positions 97 96 +1
Increased Positions 208 295 -87
Closed Positions 172 133 +39
Reduced Positions 227 206 +21
Total Calls 20 23 -13.04%
Total Puts 19 22 -13.64%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.95 0.96 Neutral

Statistics: DUOL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

483 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in DUOL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of DUOL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Ground Swell Capital, LLC 1.94% 10,000 $986K
2 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 0.24% 2,454 $242K
3 Ahara Advisors LLC 0.21% 1,348 $237K
4 Bayforest Capital Ltd 0.19% 1,701 $168K
5 FIDEURAM - INTESA SANPAOLO PRIVATE BANKING S.P.A. 0.14% 39,311 $3.9M
6 MRA Advisory Group 0.11% 2,635 $260K
7 INVESTMENT HOUSE LLC 0.09% 17,719 $1.7M
8 Quent Capital, LLC 0.09% 12,554 $1.2M
9 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.08% 42,860 $4.2M
10 REINHART PARTNERS, LLC. 0.06% 20,911 $2.1M
11 Legacy Wealth Asset Management, LLC 0.05% 2,067 $204K
12 Leonteq Securities AG 0.05% 13,373 $1.3M
13 Westfuller Advisors, LLC 0.03% 700 $69K
14 Private Advisor Group, LLC 0.03% 62,702 $6.2M
15 Murphy & Mullick Capital Management Corp 0.03% 393 $39K
16 Generali Investments Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych 0.03% 500 $49K
17 USS Investment Management Ltd 0.02% 63,429 $6.3M
18 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.02% 11,600 $1K
19 KERR FINANCIAL PLANNING Corp 0.02% 145 $15K
20 Retirement Systems of Alabama 0.02% 49,055 $4.8M
21 GF FUND MANAGEMENT CO. LTD. 0.02% 9,607 $947K
22 YOUSIF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.01% 11,667 $1.2M
23 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.01% 15,886 $1.6M
24 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.01% 4,441 $438K
25 KESTRA PRIVATE WEALTH SERVICES, LLC 0.01% 9,459 $932K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — DUOLINGO INC (DUOL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for DUOL?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their DUOL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for DUOL?

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying: Last quarter: 347 funds reduced or exited vs 245 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for DUOL holders?

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds: 44 of 447 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in DUOL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held DUOL?

Mixed — 38% long-term, 27% new: Of the 447 current holders: 170 (38%) held >2 years, 158 held 1–2 years, and 119 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.