Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Defi Development Corp (DFDV)

48 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in DFDV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -5
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — DFDV

Based on 48 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their DFDV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 91% of 3.0Y peak

91% of all-time peak
48 funds currently hold this stock — 91% of the 3.0-year high of 53 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +1100% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+44 new funds entered over the past year (+1100% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

29 buying38 selling
Last quarter: 38 funds reduced or exited vs 29 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-12 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 24 → 26 → 25 → 13. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 62% entered in last year

■ 12% conviction (2yr+) ■ 25% medium ■ 62% new
Only 6 funds (12%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -17%, value -47%

Value
-47%
Shares
-16%
Last quarter: funds added -17% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -47%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

2 → 24 → 26 → 25 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 24 → 26 → 25 → 13. DFDV is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱

Early stage — 94% of holders entered in last year

■ 4% veterans ■ 2% 1-2yr ■ 94% new
Of 53 current holders: 50 (94%) entered in the past year, only 2 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds

27% from top-100 AUM funds
15 of 43 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
6.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — DFDV

In 2026 Q1, 29 hedge funds were net buyers of DFDV (13 opened a new position, 16 added to an existing one), while 38 reduced or exited (20 trimmed, 18 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 27% of total institutional value in DFDV is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -5 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 48.

Hedge Fund Ownership: DFDV

How many hedge funds hold DFDV — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of DFDV vs. share price

Market Analysis: DFDV

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: DFDV

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Defi Development Corp (DFDV) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much DFDV has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
DFDV
nan%
XLF
+9.5%

DFDV outperformed XLF by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
DFDV
nan%
XLF
+5.8%

Since the filing became public, DFDV outperformed XLF by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

6 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: DFDV
48 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in DFDV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 48 53 -9.43%
13F Shares 6M 8M -16.53%
Total Value $21M $40M -47.46%
New Positions 13 25 -12
Increased Positions 13 21 -8
Closed Positions 18 16 +2
Reduced Positions 18 7 +11
Total Calls 5 5 -
Total Puts 5 6 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.2 Neutral

Statistics: DFDV

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

48 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in DFDV. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 DFDV holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Lauer Wealth, LLC 0.22% 79,100 $282K
2 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 0.07% 107,000 $352K
3 BlueChip Wealth Advisors LLC 0.03% 17,500 $58K
4 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.02% 50,257 $165K
5 DeepCurrents Investment Group LLC 0.02% 152,257 $501K
6 Shay Capital LLC 0.01% 50,000 $164K
7 683 Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 30,000 $99K
8 Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. 0.00% 268,522 $883K
9 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.00% 60,599 $199K
10 Jain Global LLC 0.00% 121,470 $400K
11 Group One Trading LLC 0.00% 142,872 $470K
12 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.00% 36,300 $119K
13 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.00% 285,800 $940K
14 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.00% 30,000 $99K
15 Leonteq Securities AG 0.00% 5,000 $16K
16 Marshall Wace, LLP 0.00% 156,699 $516K
17 Belvedere Trading LLC 0.00% 71,600 $250K
18 Hrt Financial LP 0.00% 35,221 $115K
19 Millennium Management LLC 0.00% 203,979 $671K
20 Simplex Trading, LLC 0.00% 116,102 $382K
21 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.00% 1,871 $6K
22 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 617,700 $2.0M
23 Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co 0.00% 149,715 $493K
24 Citadel Advisors LLC 0.00% 233,700 $769K
25 Jane Street Group, LLC 0.00% 289,500 $952K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Defi Development Corp (DFDV)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for DFDV?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their DFDV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for DFDV?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 38 funds reduced or exited vs 29 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for DFDV holders?

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds: 15 of 43 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held DFDV?

Mostly new holders — 62% entered in last year: Only 6 funds (12%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Defi Development Corp (DFDV) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, DFDV has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), DFDV has gained nan% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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