Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD)

194 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in DBD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +28
Streak
11Q ▲
Buyers last Q
62%

Smart Money Signals — DBD

Based on 194 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added DBD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
194 hedge funds hold DBD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +38% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+53 new funds entered over the past year (+38% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying

118 buying73 selling
Last quarter: 118 funds were net buyers (44 opened a brand new position + 74 added to an existing one). Only 73 were sellers (57 trimmed + 16 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+20 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new DBD position: 23 → 31 → 24 → 44. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 22% new
109 out of 194 hedge funds have held DBD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -1%, value -97%

Value
-96%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: funds added -1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -97%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

27 → 23 → 31 → 24 → 44 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 23 → 31 → 24 → 44. A growing number of institutions are discovering DBD each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 25% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 198 holders: 131 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 18 entered 1–2 years ago, and 49 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds

53% from top-100 AUM funds
44 of 194 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in DBD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — DBD

In 2026 Q1, 118 hedge funds were net buyers of DBD (44 opened a new position, 74 added to an existing one), while 73 reduced or exited (57 trimmed, 16 sold completely) — a 62% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 11 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 53% of total institutional value in DBD is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +28 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 194.

Hedge Fund Ownership: DBD

How many hedge funds hold DBD — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of DBD vs. share price

Market Analysis: DBD

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: DBD

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much DBD has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 82d ago
DBD
+11.1%
XLK
+44.0%

DBD outperformed XLK by -32.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 37d ago
DBD
+20.2%
XLK
+8.6%

Since the filing became public, DBD outperformed XLK by +11.6% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: DBD
194 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in DBD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 194 166 16.87%
13F Shares 36M 36M -1.09%
Total Value $2.65B $77.02B -96.56%
New Positions 44 24 +20
Increased Positions 74 65 +9
Closed Positions 16 16 -
Reduced Positions 55 52 +3
Total Calls 2 1 100.0%
Total Puts 2 0 100%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.0 Neutral

Statistics: DBD

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

194 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in DBD. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 DBD holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Millstreet Capital Management LLC 94.24% 5,216,672 $393.5M
2 Beach Point Capital Management LP 23.77% 800,661 $60.4M
3 325 Capital LLC 6.65% 242,084 $18.3M
4 Skylands Capital, LLC 4.54% 459,100 $34.6M
5 Prescott Group Capital Management, L.L.C. 2.77% 368,173 $27.8M
6 Irenic Capital Management LP 2.36% 480,557 $36.3M
7 Glendon Capital Management LP 2.02% 215,568 $16.3M
8 Anderson Financial Strategies, LLC 0.88% 20,578 $1.6M
9 Brant Point Investment Management LLC 0.57% 58,631 $4.4M
10 NYL Investors LLC 0.57% 19,901 $1.5M
11 Informed Momentum Co LLC 0.56% 64,355 $4.9M
12 Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC 0.47% 41,307 $3.1M
13 Watershed Asset Management, L.L.C. 0.45% 5,736 $433K
14 VARCOV Co. 0.36% 12,846 $969K
15 William Blair Investment Management, LLC 0.36% 1,426,464 $107.6M
16 Fidelity National Financial, Inc. 0.29% 102,826 $7.8M
17 Edgestream Partners, L.P. 0.28% 112,805 $8.5M
18 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.26% 127,680 $9.6M
19 Capital International Sarl 0.23% 186,262 $14.1M
20 Dark Forest Capital Management LP 0.15% 22,124 $1.7M
21 Royce & Associates LP 0.12% 167,543 $12.6M
22 Capital World Investors 0.12% 11,602,095 $875.3M
23 Martingale Asset Management L P 0.11% 58,156 $4.4M
24 Capital International Ltd /Ca/ 0.09% 33,171 $2.5M
25 Odyssean, LLC 0.09% 3,271 $247K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for DBD?

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row: For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added DBD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for DBD?

More buyers than sellers — 62% buying: Last quarter: 118 funds were net buyers (44 opened a brand new position + 74 added to an existing one). Only 73 were sellers (57 trimmed + 16 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for DBD holders?

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds: 44 of 194 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in DBD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held DBD?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 109 out of 194 hedge funds have held DBD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, DBD has moved +20.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +8.6% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +11.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), DBD has gained +11.1% vs +44.0% for XLK. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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