Based on 120 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CTMX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
120 hedge funds hold CTMX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +76% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+52 new funds entered over the past year (+76% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 62% buying
79 buying49 selling
Last quarter: 79 funds were net buyers (39 opened a brand new position + 40 added to an existing one). Only 49 were sellers (27 trimmed + 22 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~39 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 6 → 31 → 34 → 39. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
48% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 48% conviction (2yr+)
■ 13% medium
■ 38% new
58 out of 120 hedge funds have held CTMX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +4%, value -26%
Last quarter: funds added +4% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -26%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
11 → 6 → 31 → 34 → 39 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 6 → 31 → 34 → 39. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 57% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 57% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 35% new
Of 127 current holders: 73 (57%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds
32% from top-100 AUM funds
21 of 120 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.