Based on 620 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CPAY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
620 hedge funds hold CPAY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
29 fewer hedge funds hold CPAY compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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More sellers than buyers — 48% buying
316 buying336 selling
Last quarter: 336 funds reduced or exited vs 316 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
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More new buyers each quarter (+27 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CPAY position: 74 → 85 → 70 → 97. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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Mostly new holders — 18% entered in last year
■ 4% conviction (2yr+)
■ 78% medium
■ 18% new
Only 24 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
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Steady discovery — ~97 new funds/quarter
125 → 74 → 85 → 70 → 97 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 74 → 85 → 70 → 97. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Mixed cohorts — 3% veterans, 26% new entrants
■ 3% veterans
■ 71% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Of 633 current holders: 18 (3%) held 2+ years, 449 held 1–2 years, 166 (26%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
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Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds
52% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 620 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in CPAY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.