Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Conocophillips (COP)

3K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +229
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — COP

Based on 2564 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
2,564 hedge funds hold COP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+214 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

1360 buying1071 selling
Last quarter: 1,360 funds bought or added vs 1,071 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+144 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new COP position: 140 → 174 → 246 → 390. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 70% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 15% new
1,803 out of 2,564 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+36% value, -1% shares)

Value
+36%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: total value of institutional COP holdings rose +36% even though funds reduced share count by 1%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

186 → 140 → 174 → 246 → 390 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 140 → 174 → 246 → 390. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 73% veterans vs 16% newcomers

■ 73% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,645 holders: 1,942 (73%) are 2+ year veterans, 280 entered 1–2 years ago, and 423 (16%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
70 of 2549 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — COP

In 2026 Q1, 1360 hedge funds were net buyers of COP (390 opened a new position, 970 added to an existing one), while 1071 reduced or exited (910 trimmed, 161 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 55% of total institutional value in COP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +229 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 2564.

Hedge Fund Ownership: COP

How many hedge funds hold COP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of COP vs. share price

Market Analysis: COP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: COP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Conocophillips (COP) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much COP has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
COP
-11.4%
XLE
-6.1%

COP outperformed XLE by -5.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
COP
-4.4%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, COP outperformed XLE by -1.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

110 top-rated funds 30 high-conviction
Consensus
8.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: COP
3K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in COP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 2538 2334 8.74%
13F Shares 1.03B 1.04B -1.07%
Total Value $126.34B $92.73B 36.24%
New Positions 381 246 +135
Increased Positions 956 776 +180
Closed Positions 177 163 +14
Reduced Positions 868 976 -108
Total Calls 48 39 23.08%
Total Puts 47 44 6.82%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.98 1.13 Neutral

Statistics: COP

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

3K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in COP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 COP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Mosaic Advisors LLC 9.65% 52,976 $6.5M
2 Eagle Capital Management LLC 8.37% 18,910,677 $2.50B
3 Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne 7.53% 322,500 $42.6M
4 Hatch Cove Capital, LLC 6.17% 122,500 $16.2M
5 Adams Natural Resources Fund, INC. 5.77% 377,203 $49.8M
6 Turas Capital Management LP 5.20% 154,165 $20.3M
7 Advisory Resource Group 4.98% 219,189 $28.9M
8 Smead Capital Management, Inc. 4.80% 1,671,303 $220.6M
9 Hamlin Capital Management, LLC 4.77% 1,495,710 $197.4M
10 Paragon Capital Management LLC 4.72% 72,246 $9.5M
11 R.H. Investment Group, LLC 4.65% 48,163 $6.0M
12 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 4.30% 48,071 $6.4M
13 Foundation Resource Management Inc 4.27% 287,236 $37.9M
14 Montgomery Investment Management Inc 4.22% 93,719 $12.4M
15 Mh & Associates Securities Management Corp /Adv 3.62% 31,418 $4.1M
16 Hamel Associates, INC. 3.49% 92,619 $12.2M
17 Castleview Partners, LLC 3.35% 49,443 $6.5M
18 Murphy Pohlad Asset Management LLC 3.24% 68,424 $9.0M
19 J. Team Financial, Inc. 3.12% 21,129 $2.8M
20 Findlay Park Partners LLP 3.11% 1,690,371 $223.1M
21 Sagefield Capital LP 3.09% 325,368 $42.9M
22 Lakewood Asset Management LLC 3.09% 36,561 $4.8M
23 Harris Associates L P 3.07% 17,428,651 $2.30B
24 Union Heritage Capital, LLC 3.01% 61,338 $8.1M
25 Skba Capital Management LLC 2.98% 164,645 $21.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Conocophillips (COP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for COP?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added COP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for COP?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 1,360 funds bought or added vs 1,071 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for COP holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 70 of 2549 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in COP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held COP?

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,803 out of 2,564 hedge funds have held COP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Conocophillips (COP) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, COP has moved -4.4% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), COP has gained -11.4% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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