Based on 495 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CNH positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (97% of max)
97% of all-time peak
495 hedge funds hold CNH right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +5% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+23 new funds entered over the past year (+5% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
255 buying293 selling
Last quarter: 293 funds reduced or exited vs 255 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+34 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CNH position: 101 → 60 → 62 → 96. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
49% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 49% conviction (2yr+)
■ 31% medium
■ 19% new
244 out of 495 hedge funds have held CNH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +1%, value -15%
Last quarter: funds added +1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -15%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~96 new funds/quarter
96 → 101 → 60 → 62 → 96 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 101 → 60 → 62 → 96. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 51% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 51% veterans
■ 21% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Of 504 current holders: 259 (51%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds
39% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 495 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.