Based on 90 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added CMT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
90 hedge funds hold CMT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +17% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+13 new funds entered over the past year (+17% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 45% buying
35 buying42 selling
Last quarter: 42 funds reduced or exited vs 35 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~8 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 18 → 8 → 5 → 8. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
59% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 59% conviction (2yr+)
■ 27% medium
■ 14% new
53 out of 90 hedge funds have held CMT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
7 → 18 → 8 → 5 → 8 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 18 → 8 → 5 → 8. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 59% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 59% veterans
■ 13% 1-2yr
■ 28% new
Of 90 current holders: 53 (59%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds
28% from top-100 AUM funds
23 of 90 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.