Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Cme Group Inc (CME)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CME. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -84
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — CME

Based on 1711 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CME positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
1,711 hedge funds hold CME right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+72 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

829 buying956 selling
Last quarter: 956 funds reduced or exited vs 829 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-30 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 140 → 219 → 209 → 179. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 66% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 16% new
1,125 out of 1,711 hedge funds have held CME for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +43%, value -21%

Value
-20%
Shares
+43%
Last quarter: funds added +43% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -21%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~179 new funds/quarter

188 → 140 → 219 → 209 → 179 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 140 → 219 → 209 → 179. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 19% newcomers

■ 69% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 19% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,763 holders: 1,216 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 207 entered 1–2 years ago, and 340 (19%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
71 of 1703 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in CME. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — CME

In 2026 Q2, 829 hedge funds were net buyers of CME (179 opened a new position, 650 added to an existing one), while 956 reduced or exited (693 trimmed, 263 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 55% of total institutional value in CME is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -84 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1711.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CME

How many hedge funds hold CME — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CME vs. share price

Market Analysis: CME

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CME

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Cme Group Inc (CME) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much CME has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
CME
+25.0%
XLF
+4.2%

CME outperformed XLF by +20.8% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
CME
+2.8%
XLF
+1.4%

Since the filing became public, CME outperformed XLF by +1.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

52 top-rated funds 19 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CME
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CME. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1688 1795 -5.96%
13F Shares 325M 319M 1.89%
Total Value $70.90B $90.40B -21.57%
New Positions 173 209 -36
Increased Positions 640 721 -81
Closed Positions 272 134 +138
Reduced Positions 667 625 +42
Total Calls 31 28 10.71%
Total Puts 27 31 -12.9%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.87 1.11 Neutral

Statistics: CME

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CME. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 CME holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Vitol Holding B.V. 100.00% 40,000 $8.8M
2 Bp plc 99.57% 60,000 $15.8M
3 Mizuho Financial Group Inc 56.31% 30,028 $6.6M
4 GUARDCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT Ltd 12.24% 773,225 $172.1M
5 Prevatt Capital Ltd 10.25% 214,000 $47.3M
6 Michelson Medical Research Foundation, Inc. 7.96% 39,000 $8.6M
7 Capital Counsel LLC/Ny 6.80% 788,122 $174.0M
8 Patrick Mauro Investment Advisor, INC. 5.85% 52,702 $11.6M
9 IRON Financial LLC 5.31% 58,300 $12.9M
10 Mizuho Bank, Ltd. 4.84% 102,518 $22.6M
11 Cincinnati Financial Corp 4.23% 1,002,000 $221.3M
12 Pekao Towarzystwo Funduszy Inwestycyjnych S.A. 4.22% 30,077 $6.6M
13 America First Investment Advisors, LLC 3.93% 96,012 $21.2M
14 Ycg, LLC 3.89% 200,054 $44.2M
15 Brentview Investment Management LLC 3.78% 43,235 $9.5M
16 PineStone Asset Management Inc. 3.71% 2,719,347 $600.5M
17 Longview Partners (Guernsey) LTD 3.59% 1,001,686 $221.2M
18 Capital Wealth Planning, LLC 3.55% 3,222,707 $711.7M
19 Sarasin & Partners LLP 3.40% 1,314,268 $290.2M
20 Martin Capital Partners, LLC 3.26% 40,121 $8.9M
21 W1M Asset Management Ltd 3.18% 1,573,940 $347.5M
22 CORDA Investment Management, LLC. 2.92% 215,229 $47.5M
23 Eurizon SLJ Capital Ltd 2.89% 35,435 $7.8M
24 Miramar Capital, LLC 2.82% 58,146 $12.8M
25 Guinness Asset Management LTD 2.81% 755,576 $166.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Cme Group Inc (CME)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CME?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CME positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for CME?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 956 funds reduced or exited vs 829 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for CME holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 71 of 1703 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in CME. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CME?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,125 out of 1,711 hedge funds have held CME for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Cme Group Inc (CME) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, CME has moved +2.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +1.4% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), CME has gained +25.0% vs +4.2% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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