Based on 322 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CIVI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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High ownership — 82% of 3.0Y peak
82% of all-time peak
322 funds currently hold this stock — 82% of the 3.0-year high of 391 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
42 fewer hedge funds hold CIVI compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying
151 buying233 selling
Last quarter: 233 funds sold vs only 151 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
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More new buyers each quarter (+11 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CIVI position: 57 → 68 → 54 → 65. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
57% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 57% conviction (2yr+)
■ 22% medium
■ 21% new
183 out of 322 hedge funds have held CIVI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Buying through price weakness — shares -14%, value -86%
Last quarter: funds added -14% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -86%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~65 new funds/quarter
61 → 57 → 68 → 54 → 65 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 57 → 68 → 54 → 65. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
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Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 63% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 27% new
Of 338 current holders: 214 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds
50% from top-100 AUM funds
41 of 322 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in CIVI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.