Based on 344 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CIFR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
344 hedge funds hold CIFR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +82% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+155 new funds entered over the past year (+82% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 63% buying
256 buying153 selling
Last quarter: 256 funds were net buyers (119 opened a brand new position + 137 added to an existing one). Only 153 were sellers (91 trimmed + 62 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~119 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 35 → 52 → 117 → 119. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 50% entered in last year
■ 23% conviction (2yr+)
■ 27% medium
■ 50% new
Only 78 funds (23%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +23%, value -1%
Last quarter: funds added +23% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -1%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
53 → 35 → 52 → 117 → 119 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 35 → 52 → 117 → 119. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 30% veterans, 53% new entrants
■ 30% veterans
■ 17% 1-2yr
■ 53% new
Of 387 current holders: 118 (30%) held 2+ years, 64 held 1–2 years, 205 (53%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
✅
Strong quality — 31% AUM from major funds
31% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 344 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 31% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.