Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN)

440 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CHDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +27
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — CHDN

Based on 434 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CHDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
434 hedge funds hold CHDN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding CHDN is almost the same as a year ago (+4 funds, +1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

203 buying238 selling
Last quarter: 238 funds reduced or exited vs 203 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+36 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CHDN position: 56 → 69 → 56 → 92. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 18% medium 21% new
263 out of 434 hedge funds have held CHDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +20% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+20%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +20%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

48 → 56 → 69 → 56 → 92 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 56 → 69 → 56 → 92. A growing number of institutions are discovering CHDN each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 64% of holders stayed 2+ years

64% veterans 12% 1-2yr 24% new
Of 440 current holders: 280 (64%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
41 of 434 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in CHDN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CHDN

How many hedge funds hold CHDN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CHDN vs. share price

Market Analysis: CHDN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CHDN

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

62 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
7.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CHDN
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 20 days 440 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CHDN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 440 417 5.52%
13F Shares 55M 53M 2.73%
Total Value $6.16B $5.12B 20.24%
New Positions 92 59 +33
Increased Positions 117 138 -21
Closed Positions 68 55 +13
Reduced Positions 188 184 +4
Total Calls 3 5 -40.0%
Total Puts 3 6 -50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.2 Neutral

Statistics: CHDN

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

440 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CHDN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of CHDN — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Sage Investment Advisers LLC 1.33% 20,187 $1.8M
2 Town & Country Bank & Trust CO dba First Bankers Trust CO 1.16% 38,078 $3.4M
3 COMMUNITY TRUST & INVESTMENT CO 0.99% 202,801 $18.2M
4 Skylands Capital, LLC 0.86% 73,400 $6.6M
5 STOCK YARDS BANK & TRUST CO 0.82% 295,156 $26.5M
6 PARTHENON LLC 0.75% 72,654 $6.5M
7 WINEBRENNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.23% 4,039 $363K
8 HUNTER ASSOCIATES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 0.22% 18,831 $2K
9 R Squared Ltd 0.22% 4,390 $394K
10 Yorktown Management & Research Co Inc 0.21% 2,850 $256K
11 Bayforest Capital Ltd 0.18% 1,765 $159K
12 BARLOW WEALTH PARTNERS, LLC 0.16% 15,796 $1.5M
13 Cox Capital Mgt LLC 0.14% 2,300 $207K
14 NJ State Employees Deferred Compensation Plan 0.13% 12,000 $1.2M
15 Sculati Wealth Management, LLC 0.12% 3,753 $337K
16 Atlas Brown,Inc. 0.12% 4,311 $387K
17 Columbia Asset Management 0.09% 5,540 $498K
18 AdvisorShares Investments LLC 0.08% 5,080 $456K
19 SAPIENT CAPITAL LLC 0.08% 60,121 $5.4M
20 Fruth Investment Management 0.08% 3,600
21 Impact Partnership Wealth, LLC 0.07% 5,899 $530K
22 HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC. 0.06% 8,445
23 Retirement Systems of Alabama 0.06% 203,764 $18.3M
24 Cardinal Strategic Wealth Guidance 0.06% 2,558 $230K
25 WBH ADVISORY INC 0.04% 6,100 $544K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CHDN?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CHDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for CHDN?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 238 funds reduced or exited vs 203 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for CHDN holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 41 of 434 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in CHDN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CHDN?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 263 out of 434 hedge funds have held CHDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.