Based on 314 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CENX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
314 hedge funds hold CENX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +47% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+101 new funds entered over the past year (+47% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 64% buying
215 buying121 selling
Last quarter: 215 funds were net buyers (104 opened a brand new position + 111 added to an existing one). Only 121 were sellers (89 trimmed + 32 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+41 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CENX position: 49 → 47 → 63 → 104. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
49% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 49% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 31% new
154 out of 314 hedge funds have held CENX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰
Value +49% but shares only +12% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +49%, but actual share count only changed +12%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
51 → 49 → 47 → 63 → 104 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 49 → 47 → 63 → 104. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 62% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 62% veterans
■ 7% 1-2yr
■ 31% new
Of 336 current holders: 207 (62%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds
39% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 314 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.