Based on 88 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row
For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CDX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
88 hedge funds hold CDX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +267% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+64 new funds entered over the past year (+267% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 60% buying
56 buying38 selling
Last quarter: 56 funds were net buyers (17 opened a brand new position + 39 added to an existing one). Only 38 were sellers (24 trimmed + 14 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 29 → 33 → 23 → 17. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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Mostly new holders — 61% entered in last year
■ 12% conviction (2yr+)
■ 26% medium
■ 61% new
Only 11 funds (12%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
4 → 29 → 33 → 23 → 17 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 29 → 33 → 23 → 17. CDX is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 77% of holders entered in last year
■ 12% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 77% new
Of 88 current holders: 68 (77%) entered in the past year, only 11 (12%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100
16% from top-100 AUM funds
8 of 88 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
6.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.