Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

CATERPILLAR INC (CAT)

3K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CAT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +343
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — CAT

Based on 3226 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CAT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
3,226 hedge funds hold CAT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +18% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+499 new funds entered over the past year (+18% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

1646 buying1356 selling
Last quarter: 1,646 funds bought or added vs 1,356 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+205 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CAT position: 154 → 275 → 284 → 489. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 66% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 18% new
2,119 out of 3,226 hedge funds have held CAT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+20% value, -0% shares)

Value
+19%
Shares
+0%
Last quarter: total value of institutional CAT holdings rose +20% even though funds reduced share count by 0%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

264 → 154 → 275 → 284 → 489 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 154 → 275 → 284 → 489. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 67% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 67% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Of 3,325 current holders: 2,217 (67%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds

56% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 3226 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in CAT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CAT

How many hedge funds hold CAT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CAT vs. share price

Market Analysis: CAT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CAT

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

237 top-rated funds 82 high-conviction
Consensus
10.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
7.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CAT
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 19 days 3K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CAT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 3325 2975 11.76%
13F Shares 340M 340M -0.02%
Total Value $189.92B $158.58B 19.76%
New Positions 497 288 +209
Increased Positions 1284 1182 +102
Closed Positions 151 182 -31
Reduced Positions 1329 1250 +79
Total Calls 60 55 9.09%
Total Puts 58 57 1.75%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.97 1.04 Neutral

Statistics: CAT

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

3K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CAT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of CAT — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Community Bank of Raymore 7.97% 16,803 $11.9M
2 Atwater Malick LLC 7.28% 38,021 $26.9M
3 Independent Wealth Network Inc. 5.50% 26,118 $18.5M
4 Aull & Monroe Investment Management Corp 5.42% 16,468 $11.7M
5 Boit C F David 5.19% 16,500 $11.7M
6 Reliant Investment Management, LLC 4.92% 14,420 $10.2M
7 Pflug Koory, LLC 4.49% 13,841 $9.8M
8 JERICHO FINANCIAL, LLP 4.27% 9,553 $6.8M
9 Jones Kertz & Associates, Inc. 4.25% 11,300 $8.0M
10 Viewpoint Capital Management LLC 4.24% 12,801 $9.1M
11 Sentry LLC 4.21% 18,692 $13.2M
12 DB&C Advisors, LLC 4.20% 4,558 $3.2M
13 Wesleyan Assurance Society 4.20% 100,379 $71K
14 Westend Capital Management, LLC 4.19% 19,684 $13.9M
15 ASAHI LIFE ASSET MANAGEMENT CO., LTD. 4.16% 9,087 $6.4M
16 Cannon Advisors, Inc. 4.04% 7,692 $5.4M
17 Integris Wealth Management, LLC 3.95% 24,236 $17.2M
18 Allied Investment Advisors, LLC 3.93% 38,736 $27.4M
19 Geneva Partners, LLC 3.78% 10,783 $7.9M
20 Wealth Group, Ltd. 3.72% 5,634 $4K
21 PHYSICIANS FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. 3.72% 19,159 $14K
22 Exchange Bank 3.67% 7,472 $5.3M
23 MONTGOMERY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 3.46% 14,327 $10.1M
24 DELTA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 3.45% 8,850 $6.3M
25 Overbrook Management Corp 3.40% 25,382 $18.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — CATERPILLAR INC (CAT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CAT?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added CAT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for CAT?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 1,646 funds bought or added vs 1,356 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for CAT holders?

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds: 46 of 3226 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in CAT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CAT?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 2,119 out of 3,226 hedge funds have held CAT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.