Stock Analysis

CAYSON ACQUISITION CORP (CAPN)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
25%

Smart Money Signals — CAPN

Based on 23 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 82% of 3.0Y peak

82% of all-time peak
23 funds currently hold this stock — 82% of the 3.0-year high of 28 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 18% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
5 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-18% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying

3 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 7 → 5 → 4 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 30% entered in last year

9% conviction (2yr+) 61% medium 30% new
Only 2 funds (9%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -16%, value -99%

Value
-99%
Shares
-16%
Last quarter: funds added -16% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -99%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

27 → 7 → 5 → 4 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 7 → 5 → 4 → 1. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 91% of holders entered in last year

9% veterans 0% 1-2yr 91% new
Of 23 current holders: 21 (91%) entered in the past year, only 2 (9%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100

8% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 23 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CAPN

How many hedge funds hold CAPN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CAPN vs. share price

Market Analysis: CAPN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CAPN

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Hedge Fund Positioning: CAPN
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: CAPN

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed