Based on 47 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CAPE positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
47 hedge funds hold CAPE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +18% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+7 new funds entered over the past year (+18% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying
16 buying25 selling
Last quarter: 25 funds sold vs only 16 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 8 → 2 → 10 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
62% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 62% conviction (2yr+)
■ 21% medium
■ 17% new
29 out of 47 hedge funds have held CAPE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+6% value, -9% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional CAPE holdings rose +6% even though funds reduced share count by 9%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~7 new funds/quarter
4 → 8 → 2 → 10 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 2 → 10 → 7. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 62% veterans vs 28% newcomers
■ 62% veterans
■ 11% 1-2yr
■ 28% new
Entry-cohort mix of 47 holders: 29 (62%) are 2+ year veterans, 5 entered 1–2 years ago, and 13 (28%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 12% AUM from top-100
12% from top-100 AUM funds
9 of 47 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 12% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.