Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Tr Et (BTC)

464 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BTC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -24
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — BTC

Based on 467 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BTC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 93% of 3.0Y peak

93% of all-time peak
467 funds currently hold this stock — 93% of the 3.0-year high of 500 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+19 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

197 buying199 selling
Last quarter: 197 funds bought or added vs 199 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-25 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 90 → 80 → 79 → 54. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 25% entered in last year

2% conviction (2yr+) 73% medium 25% new
Only 9 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +27%, value -68%

Value
-68%
Shares
+27%
Last quarter: funds added +27% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -68%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

86 → 90 → 80 → 79 → 54 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 90 → 80 → 79 → 54. BTC is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 1% veterans, 33% new entrants

1% veterans 66% 1-2yr 33% new
Of 473 current holders: 3 (1%) held 2+ years, 312 held 1–2 years, 158 (33%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 14% AUM from top-100

14% from top-100 AUM funds
22 of 466 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 14% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BTC

In 2026 Q2, 197 hedge funds were net buyers of BTC (54 opened a new position, 143 added to an existing one), while 199 reduced or exited (121 trimmed, 78 sold completely) — a 50% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. Net fund flow last quarter: -24 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 467.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About BTC

▲ 1 bullish
Dan Morehead · Pantera Capital long 2026-09-01
Bitcoin is viewed as a long‑term macro hedge against fiat debasement and expected to rise over the next several years
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Television
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: BTC

How many hedge funds hold BTC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BTC vs. share price

Market Analysis: BTC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BTC

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Tr Et (BTC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much BTC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 81d ago
BTC
+30.3%
SPY
+2.1%

BTC outperformed SPY by +28.2% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 36d ago
BTC
+21.6%
SPY
-1.8%

Since the filing became public, BTC outperformed SPY by +23.4% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

12 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
4.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BTC
464 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BTC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 464 491 -5.5%
13F Shares 36M 28M 27.37%
Total Value $961M $3.02B -68.17%
New Positions 53 79 -26
Increased Positions 138 169 -31
Closed Positions 79 87 -8
Reduced Positions 120 98 +22
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 3 3 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.75 Neutral

Statistics: BTC

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

464 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BTC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BTC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Bullish 64.80% 4,523,963 $175.2M
2 Emory University 21.95% 1,354,148 $35.1M
3 Paragon Advisors, LLC 7.12% 1,306,342 $33.9M
4 Kaleidoscope Capital LP 6.12% 637,727 $16.5M
5 ParaFi Capital LP 3.74% 520,000 $13.5M
6 HFG Wealth Management, LLC 3.09% 118,551 $3.1M
7 Sloy Dahl & Holst, LLC 3.06% 954,568 $24.8M
8 Pacific Excel Wealth Advisors, Inc. 2.06% 205,477 $5.3M
9 Heritage Family Offices, LLP 2.06% 205,477 $5.3M
10 Exit Wealth Advisors, LLC. 1.91% 161,725 $4.2M
11 Cushing Capital Partners, LLC 1.90% 106,264 $2.8M
12 VVR Holdings LLC 1.90% 168,908 $4.4M
13 Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC 1.79% 6,067,993 $157.5M
14 Verde Capital Management 1.54% 320,526 $8.3M
15 Reliant Wealth Planning 1.33% 186,312 $4.8M
16 Elevate Capital Advisors, LLC 1.20% 84,447 $2.2M
17 ShoreHaven Wealth Partners, LLC 1.19% 145,908 $3.8M
18 Pasadena Private Wealth, LLC 1.16% 351,755 $9.1M
19 EagleClaw Capital Managment, LLC 1.12% 320,872 $8.3M
20 Broadhurst Jeffrey B 1.10% 20,000 $519K
21 Ovata Capital Management Ltd 1.08% 551,872 $14.3M
22 Ascension Capital Advisors, Inc. 1.05% 144,683 $3.8M
23 Thryve Wealth Management LLC 0.87% 60,314 $1.6M
24 Mad River Investors 0.79% 81,517 $2.1M
25 Apriem Advisors 0.74% 330,202 $8.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Tr Et (BTC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BTC?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BTC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for BTC?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 197 funds bought or added vs 199 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for BTC holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 14% AUM from top-100: 22 of 466 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 14% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BTC?

Mostly new holders — 25% entered in last year: Only 9 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Tr Et (BTC) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, BTC has moved +21.6% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -1.8% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +23.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), BTC has gained +30.3% vs +2.1% for SPY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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