Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Builders Firstsource Inc (BLDR)

660 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BLDR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -61
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
44%

Smart Money Signals — BLDR

Based on 671 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BLDR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 82% of 3.0Y peak

82% of all-time peak
671 funds currently hold this stock — 82% of the 3.0-year high of 821 funds (reached 2024 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
94 fewer hedge funds hold BLDR compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying

340 buying428 selling
Last quarter: 428 funds reduced or exited vs 340 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-19 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 114 → 120 → 114 → 95. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 16% new
432 out of 671 hedge funds have held BLDR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~95 new funds/quarter

128 → 114 → 120 → 114 → 95 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 114 → 120 → 114 → 95. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 70% veterans vs 18% newcomers

■ 70% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 702 holders: 489 (70%) are 2+ year veterans, 84 entered 1–2 years ago, and 129 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds

50% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 666 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in BLDR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BLDR

In 2026 Q2, 340 hedge funds were net buyers of BLDR (95 opened a new position, 245 added to an existing one), while 428 reduced or exited (272 trimmed, 156 sold completely) — a 44% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 50% of total institutional value in BLDR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -61 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 671.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BLDR

How many hedge funds hold BLDR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BLDR vs. share price

Market Analysis: BLDR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BLDR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Builders Firstsource Inc (BLDR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much BLDR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 83d ago
BLDR
-35.6%
XLI
-18.5%

BLDR outperformed XLI by -17.1% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 38d ago
BLDR
-20.6%
XLI
-9.9%

Since the filing became public, BLDR outperformed XLI by -10.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

26 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
6.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BLDR
660 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BLDR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 660 732 -9.84%
13F Shares 110M 110M 0.21%
Total Value $9.68B $8.97B 7.99%
New Positions 93 114 -21
Increased Positions 237 272 -35
Closed Positions 160 143 +17
Reduced Positions 261 241 +20
Total Calls 18 19 -5.26%
Total Puts 18 20 -10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.05 Neutral

Statistics: BLDR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

660 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BLDR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BLDR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Stadium Capital Management LLC 67.68% 158,894 $14.2M
2 Coliseum Capital Management, LLC 20.00% 2,598,218 $232.5M
3 Littlejohn & Co LLC 19.43% 170,671 $15.3M
4 Hauser Brothers GmbH 13.89% 128,900 $11.5M
5 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 8.24% 147,867 $13.2M
6 Michelson Medical Research Foundation, Inc. 8.02% 97,000 $8.7M
7 Robotti Robert 7.37% 510,158 $45.6M
8 GoodHaven Capital Management, LLC 6.44% 228,760 $20.5M
9 Semper Augustus Investments Group LLC 5.60% 553,722 $49.5M
10 Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC 4.56% 2,340,571 $209.4M
11 Lodge Hill Capital, LLC 4.08% 271,700 $24.3M
12 Jb Capital Partners LP 4.05% 292,265 $26.2M
13 Woodson Capital Management, LP 3.30% 220,000 $19.7M
14 Diversified Investment Strategies, LLC 2.78% 48,032 $4.3M
15 Atlas FRM LLC 2.75% 718,000 $64.2M
16 Monimus Capital Management, LP 2.14% 103,173 $9.2M
17 Long Pond Capital, LP 2.11% 245,750 $22.0M
18 Inkwell Capital LLC 2.11% 22,630 $2.0M
19 KLCM Advisors, Inc. 2.09% 296,590 $26.5M
20 Rockbridge Asset Management LLC 2.09% 36,192 $3.2M
21 Cna Financial Corp 2.06% 55,000 $4.9M
22 Regents Gate Capital LLP 1.85% 15,507 $1.4M
23 L1 Capital Pty Ltd 1.81% 600,269 $53.7M
24 Intrinsic Value Partners, LLC 1.64% 26,805 $2.4M
25 Westbourne Investment Advisors, Inc. 1.59% 64,626 $5.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Builders Firstsource Inc (BLDR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BLDR?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BLDR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for BLDR?

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying: Last quarter: 428 funds reduced or exited vs 340 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for BLDR holders?

Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 666 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in BLDR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held BLDR?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 432 out of 671 hedge funds have held BLDR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Builders Firstsource Inc (BLDR) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, BLDR has moved -20.6% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -9.9% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -10.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), BLDR has gained -35.6% vs -18.5% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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